1 November 2019 Disclaimer
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Industry report Insurance CA 01.11.2019
party liability insurance (MTPL) in 2019. 2. GENERAL OVERVIEW The CA countries are heterogeneous and differ from each other in terms of territory and population, as well as the diversity of natural resources. On the other hand, apart from geographical location and climate, cultural and historical characteristics, they are largely united by the similarity of economic models and financial systems, the level of institutional development and the degree of integration into the global economy. 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 2017 2018 2019f 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 2017 2018 2019f P a g e | 3 Disclaimer The Agency disclaims all liability in connection with any consequences, interpretations, conclusions, recommendations and other actions directly or indirectly related to the conclusions and opinions contained in the Agency’s Research Reports. This Report represents the opinion of Rating-Agentur Expert RA GmbH and is not a recommendation to buy, hold or sell any securities or assets, or to make investment decisions. Graph 2.4: Inflation, % Source: RAEX-Europe calculations based on data from the IMF Graph 3.11: KAZ – GWP, KZT bn Source: RAEX-Europe calculations based on data from the National Bank of Republic of Kazakhstan (NBK) Overall, the economic development in the region exceeds world growth levels as the region’s average real GDP is estimated at 4,6% as compared to a world average of 3,6% in 2018, and is expected to remain high in the short term (see graph 2.2). Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan, which are oil and gas exporters, are expected to support the region's growth next year, while the economies of Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan, which are largely fuelled by remittances and government spending, are likely to lag behind. Nevertheless, the current positive dynamics are still not sufficient to significantly improve the standards of living in the region, the weakness of which constrains the active development of the insurance market. Institutional fragility and dominance of the state prevent the growth of investments and productivity, while the high dependence on external demand and the economies of the main trade partners, especially Russia, create high exposure to external shocks. Inflationary pressures are gradually easing except for Uzbekistan; however, the monetary policy efficiency remains low due to weaknesses of the banking systems, high level of dollarization and dependence on imports. The insurance market of the region, amid economic growth, shows positive dynamics in general, but not uniform across the countries in the region. In the whole CA region, property and civil liability insurance dominate, while the life insurance sector accounts for a smaller share of the market, and in Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan, the life segment is practically absent. Insufficient development of the insurance sector, shown by levels of penetration and density lagging behind the average СIS and European figures, reflects the low level of financial awareness of the population. All the countries in the region are characterized by a high concentration of the market with a relatively small number of players. On the positive side, we can highlight the supporting role of the authorities in Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan, where over the past few years have been implementing initiatives aimed at market development and improving the reliability of the insurance business, bringing the legislative and regulatory framework in line with international standards. Download 0.96 Mb. Do'stlaringiz bilan baham: |
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