Article · August 021 doi: 10. 13106/jafeb. 2021. vo n 0345 citations 14 reads 5,190 authors
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TheImpactofInvestmentsonEconomicGrowth EvidencefromVietnam
2.2. Previous Empirical Studies
Economists around the world have long debated the impact of investment on economic growth. However, it was not until the late 80s of the 20th century, with the rise of the economy, abundant data on the economy, political and social indicators of nations and territories, many empirical kinds of research on the impact of investment on new economic growth have been conducted systematically. With the desire to obtain specific evidence on the foundation of collected secondary data, the quantitative research method was used by the author in this study. Some typical relevant related studies are as follows: Researching 7 countries - in Group of Seven (advanced economic countries) - from 1967 to 1985 on the effects of investment towards the economic growth, Aschauer (1989a) studied through series of time series data with latency for both public investment and private investment variables. The results showed that public investment was a key factor that positively affects labor productivity of the economy as well as a private investment also had a positive impact on the growth. However, public spending had the opposite effect on growth. More importantly, the study also found that public investment had a stimulating effect on economic growth via providing infrastructure to make the economic activity of the private investment sector better. Aschauer (1989b) considered the relationship between aggregate productivity and stock and flow government- spending variables. The empirical results indicated that (i) the nonmilitary public capital stock is dramatically more important in determining productivity than is either the flow of nonmilitary or military spending, (ii) military capital bears little relation to productivity, and (iii) a ‘core’ infrastructure of streets, highways, airports, mass transit, sewers, water systems, etc. has most explanatory power for productivity. The paper also suggested an important role for the net public capital stock in the ‘productivity slowdown’ of the last fifteen years. In assessing the effectiveness of investment and public expenditure with economic growth rates in 98 countries between 1960 and 1985, Barro (1991) established a research model of control variables. The results indicated that there is no evidence to determine whether public investment had an impact on economic growth or not, but that government spending had a negative effect on economic growth. In a study on the impact of public policy, private investment, and savings in the private sector on economic growth, including a sample of 41 sub-Saharan African countries from 1981 to 1992, Hadjimichael and Ghura (1995) assessed empirically the role of public policies in stimulating private savings and investment in sub-Saharan African countries, based on data for the period 1986–92. The main findings of the analysis were as follows: (i) policies effective in stimulating private savings and investment include those that keep the rate of inflation low, reduce macroeconomic uncertainty, promote financial deepening, and lower the external debt burden; (ii) measures that promote structural reforms and reduce the budget deficit (without lowering government investment) help to raise private investment; and (iii) declines in government savings are only partially offset by increases in private savings. Devarajan et al. (1996) focused on the link between the level of public expenditure and growth and derived conditions under which a change in the composition of expenditure leads to a higher steady-state growth rate of the economy. The conditions depended not just on the |
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