Bachelor's thesis (Turku University of Applied Sciences) Degree Program in Business Management
MANAGING INVESTMENT RISKS IN COMMERCIAL
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Vorobyev Artem
7 MANAGING INVESTMENT RISKS IN COMMERCIAL
BANKING 7.1 Preface The concept of “risk” is often understood as a dangerous possibility of losses resulting from certain outward or inward factors, in particular – social and political phenomena or various human activities (Hiriyappa, 2008, p. 17). As an economic category, risk represents an event with a certain probability of occurrence. Therefore, risk management processes focus not only on possible forecasting strategies, but also on the most efficient methods of avoiding or undertaking certain risks in order to minimize their subsequent negative effects. Due to the nature of the industry and the fragile stability of its dependence from all of the economic participants of financial markets, risks are not only considered to be the basis of any investment operation, but are often seen as the foundation of the banking system itself, as “with increased pressure on 58 TURKU UNIVERSITY OF APPLIED SCIENCES THESIS | Artem Vorobyev private banks to increase shareholder’s returns, banks have had to assume higher risks” (Casu, Girardone and Molyneux, 2006, p. 259). As has already been outlined in previous chapters, banks are most successful when they take reasonable risks that could be controlled within their financial capacity and competence, as riskier investments that promise greater rewards impose banks to higher possibilities of failure. It is also wise to understand that, while banks more than often invest in order to achieve better profitability results, they are constantly in danger of breaking the fragile balance of their liquidity operations. Thus, investment risks in commercial banking are not only concerned with the possible tendencies of incurring losses, but also with the concept of bank’s solvency as a whole. Apart from financial operations, banks should try to increase their liquidity values in order to cover any unpredicted expenses and losses while providing a reasonable amount of profit for shareholders (Casu, Girardone and Molyneux, 2006, p. 259). The aim of achieving these seemingly contradictory goals lies at the basis of bank's investment policies and risk management strategies. As the main purpose of current chapter is to consider the theory of investment risks in commercial banking and determine various risk management techniques, I will analyse most effective methods of risk management and describe the implementation of these methods in contemporary commercial banking. In addition to the above mentioned objectives, this chapter intends to identify risk management issues related to commercial banking and single out the ways to improve banking investment practices. 7.2 The role of risk management activities in commercial banking It should have already become obvious that one of the major characteristic of investment operations in commercial banking is connected to the idea of estimating every investment decision from the point of view of several key for commercial banking concepts: profitability – liquidity – and the corresponding level of risk. 59 TURKU UNIVERSITY OF APPLIED SCIENCES THESIS | Artem Vorobyev Having identified a risk as a probability of failure, it is now possible to conclude that separate investment projects are subject to different risk values, depending on the category of profitability, time-period involved and business field in question. In general, it is safe say that an investment risk expresses the possibility of unforeseen financial losses in the course of investment activities of commercial banks. The process of probability estimations of investment risk involved allows banks to identify the key factors and consequences behind every investment risk and, therefore, figure out a way of dealing with each potential threat (Mertens, 2005, p. 374). It is a well-known fact that successful implementation of majority of investment projects in any financial market is coupled with a risk of losing a part of invested capital or even the whole value of the initial investment. Moreover, there is a straight correlation between the levels of income and the risks that the investor is willing to undertake: the higher the level of return – the higher the risk. This thought leads us to a crucial assumption that it is extremely important to have an accurate idea concerning the whole system of investment risks. Profitability of various investment activities of commercial banks depends on a number of business factors and organizational conditions among which the leading role belongs to such crucial tendencies, like: the general level of economic stability in the region; other important participants of equity markets (investment companies, funds, etc.); financial instruments involved; regulation and directive approaches that are in force. So what is the main function that risk management has to perform in order to increase the effectiveness of banking investment strategies? One of the most crucial objectives deals with the following dilemma: how to increase the maximum level of income at a given risk level or how to minimize investment risks at a certain level of income (Hiriyappa, 2008). 60 TURKU UNIVERSITY OF APPLIED SCIENCES THESIS | Artem Vorobyev 7.3 Investment risks in commercial banking In order to get a wider perspective on different types of investment risks in commercial banking, let us briefly refer to the following figure. Investment Risks Systematic risks Nonsystematic Risks Interest-rate Risk Exchange-rate Risk Inflation Risk Political Risk Market Risk Financial Risk Default Risk Liquidity Risk Low interest- rate risk Figure 10 Systematic and nonsystematic risk approaches to investment risk management in commercial banking (Casu, Girardone and Molyneux, 2006) As you can see from the chart, on the first and most general level, all investment risks could be separated into systematic and non-systematic, depending on their operating areas and subjects of influence (Cooray, 2003; Casu, Girardone and Molyneux, 2006, p. 269). 61 TURKU UNIVERSITY OF APPLIED SCIENCES THESIS | Artem Vorobyev Non-systematic investment risks represent all possibilities of losses that can affect only separate securities or small groups of financial assets. In principle, such risks are also known as risks attributed to certain types of financial instruments. It is interesting to note that above mentioned diversification method of investment portfolio organization is often seen as a good response to minimize the effects of non-systematic risks (Cooray, 2003). Systematic risks are often seen as risks that are inherent to a particular financial market, as well as a set of financial assets or instruments: whole market or its considerable part is exposed to their influence. Due to this prominent feature, systematic risks are sometimes viewed as risks directed at entire investment portfolio (Cooray, 2003). While being caused by potential economic uncertainties that dominate the financial market and general development tendencies that are typical for it, systematic risks influence securities of almost all issuers that operate in the given market. Due to the nature of risks themselves, in case of systematic risks the diversification method cannot provide required level of safety and it is significantly more difficult to avoid losses from investments that are more liable to this particular group (Cooray, 2003). In order to identify effective ways of managing investment risks, it is necessary to take a closer look at the way some of them can influence the operations of commercial banking and try to examine the causes of such impact. 7.3.1 Counter-party credit (default) risk One of most common investment risks, the counter-party risk, deals with the possibility of outstanding payments on certain financial obligations (principle and interest payments). In other words, it revolves around the payments that will not be carried out in case of counter- Download 1.77 Mb. Do'stlaringiz bilan baham: |
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