Centre for Economic Policy Research
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Discussion and Roundtables 97
has taken increasing importance. In general, there should be two agencies that preside over two objectives. Angel Ubide Tudor Investment Corporation Angel Ubide recalled the definition of a conflict of interest as a decline in available information that lowers the efficiency of financial markets. There is thus a trade-off between the benefits of certification (economies of scope in information collection) and the (perceived) cost of conflicts of interest. The Report assesses whether underwriting activity is affected by such conflicts. The yield is typically lower when a commercial bank has a lending stake in the issuing firm. Moreover, universal banks are biased towards smaller firms, thus increasing the access to market for these firms. With a worldwide trend toward universal banking, interest-rate margins are compressed to very low levels. The main strategy in banking currently seems to be to focus on fee-based activities and to use lending as a strategy to secure new business. Lending has become a crucial activity: customers demand credit in return for mergers and acquisitions and underwriting business, and banks are offering credit below current market rates as a sweetener to win investment banking contracts. As a result, this practice artificially improves the balance-sheet of corporations while increasing the risks on the balance-sheet. Is this really a conflict of interest as defined in the Report? Or is it a supervisory concern? Or both? The increase in the use of derivatives has been dramatic. A first result is that the activity is highly concentrated in a few banks: the top three derivatives dealers hold 88% of total US bank derivatives notionals; 89% of contracts which are not related to interest rates; 88% of apparently unmatched positions; and about 75% of credit exposure. Furthermore, although some activity is directed at hedging, there are large unmatched market values inside the banks. Are universal banks playing with the safety net? Moreover, there has been a large expansion in credit default swaps. A conflict of interest might arise if the credit default swap department of the bank is pricing an issue, which involves the use of bond and loan information from the commercial banking part of the conglomerate. In certain countries, banks can hold equity stakes in non-financial firms. In many cases bank managers sit on the board of the firms to which they lend. Even in the United States, a third of large corporations have bank directors on their board. It remains unclear whether such a situation is good or bad from the point of view of conflicts of interest. Long-term equity stakes increase the incentive to cooperate with the borrower in case of financial distress. Studies of Keiretsu show how banks went out of their way to help distressed borrowers. On the other side, the arrangement allows for an improvement in the monitoring of credit risks, which is beneficial. Another issue is that the interest rate charged is based on a long-term assessment of the firm rather than on the intrinsic risk of particular projects. Having a stake in a company reduces the conflict of interest between shareholders and the lender by aligning incentives. In the end, there is better monitoring but a less transparent pricing of risks. Does this increase or reduce the information that is available for the market? Are there lessons to draw from the European experience with universal banking over 50 years? European banking is based on reputation to ensure a steady flow of future business, while the Anglo-Saxon arm’s length banking relies more on courts to enforce explicit contracts. Relationship banking is largely self-governing, whereas arm’s length banking is heavily regulated. The legal and cultural 98 Conflicts of Interest in the Financial Services Industry superstructure is key: governmental influence, notably through national champion strategies, accounting based on principles rather than rules, more concentration in the banking sector, and a regulatory framework tilted towards larger banks. Can universal banking avoid the exploitation of conflicts of interest without changing this superstructure towards relationship banking? Finally, conflicts of interest must be related to Basel II. There will be greater discretion to determine capital needs and as a consequence, the scope for conflicts of interest may widen. It should, however, put a higher value on enhanced monitoring and relationship banking, thereby bringing about a higher level of information. The supervisory review process should enhance the control of incen- tives, although it is not clear that supervisors will deal with conflicts of interest. Finally, market disclosure will bring additional information. In the end, will Basel II increase or decrease the potential for conflicts of interest in universal banking? Download 1.95 Mb. Do'stlaringiz bilan baham: |
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