Classroom Companion: Business
· Positive and Negative Network Effects 130 9
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Introduction to Digital Economics
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- Definition 9.5 Negative Feedback
9.2 · Positive and Negative Network Effects
130 9 the labor market to fluctuate between surplus and shortage of expertise in certain areas: the students choose a particular education based on the observed prospect of getting a job in that field at the start of the study. When they finish the education several years later, the labor market may have changed considerably. Definition 9.5 Negative Feedback Negative feedback, on the other hand, reduces the deviations and tends to bring the output toward a stable equilibrium and keep it there. If there is an increase in the input A causing an increase in the output B, then this increase in B will cause a reduction in A bringing B back close to equilibrium. Similarly, a decrease in A caus- ing a decrease in B will cause an increase in A again bringing B back close to equilib- rium. The feedback will then counteract any deviation of the output B away from its equilibrium state. Market stability is one of the basic assumptions in traditional microeconomic theory where competition leads to perfect market equilibrium. In this theory, the market is stabilized by negative feedback loops counteracting any deviation from equilibrium. Most markets for digital goods and services are subject to positive or negative net- work effects and, hence, subject to positive feedback. This implies that mainstream economic equilibrium theory does not apply to such markets. > The points made above are so important (and sometimes misinterpreted) that it is worthwhile to summarize them. Do not confuse the terms “positive (negative) net- work effect” and “positive (negative) feedback.” Positive and negative network effects are both driven by positive feedback from the market. Negative feedback from the market results in equilibrium markets, while positive feedback results in non-equilibrium markets. Positive network effects will drive the market into satu- ration such as the mobile market. In this market, everyone sooner or later owns a mobile phone. Negative network effect will initiate a vicious spiral, in which cus- tomers are leaving the market and the company serving it may face bankruptcy. . Figure 9.5 illustrates how positive feedback stimulates positive network effects: new users adopting the digital service stimulate other users to do the same, result- ing in a positive network effect that further stimulates the growth of the service. The final state of most of these markets is that every user has adopted the service or bought the good—the market ends up being saturated and cannot increase any- more. In some markets where competition exists between two or more supplementary goods (e.g., VHS and Betamax; see 7 Chap. 11 ), one of the goods may become the good that most customers prefer, generating a negative network effect on the other product that finally squeezes it out of the market. Another way of expressing this is that positive feedback in a competitive market may imply that the strong gets stronger and the weak gets weaker, also called the Matthew effect, a term coined by the sociologist Robert K. Merton (Merton, 1968 ). In this way, the network effects in competitive markets often produce winner-take-all markets, where one of the Download 5.51 Mb. Do'stlaringiz bilan baham: |
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