Fundamentals of Risk Management
Importance of risk appetite
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Fundamentals of Risk Management
Importance of risk appetite
305 The curved lines in Figure 25.1 represent the overall risk exposure of the organization and this is the optimal position, where the overall exposure cuts through the lighter section. The risk capacity of the organization is shown as higher than both the risk appetite and the risk exposure and is embedded well within the darker area. This represents an optimal state of affairs. This ensures that the organ- ization is taking risks that are within the appetite of the board and not exceeding its ultimate risk capacity. Total cost of risk calculations were commonplace in the 1980s and the intention was to calculate the total risk exposure. These calculations were usually undertaken by organizations or their insurance brokers. They enabled an organization to determine the total cost of hazard risks to the organization. The calculation had three main components: insurance premium, money spent on loss-control actions and cost of claims not covered by insurance. Tables were published on the total cost of risk in various organizations and it was possible to benchmark the performance of an organization against other companies in the same sector. This sort of total cost of risk calculation was useful and was often used as a justification for setting up an in-house or captive insurance company, as discussed in Chapter 17. The difficulty with this type of calculation was that it depended substantially on historical information. Historical loss data is not necessarily a good guide to future loss performance. This approach was intended to encourage organizations to seek the lowest overall cost for the management of hazard risks. Unfortunately, this lowest- cost approach often proved to be a mistake when a major incident occurred. Organizations should be aware that the total cost of risk calculation could represent the lowest cost for the management of hazard risks, but that might be achieved at a high overall risk position. It is worth noting that the purchase of too much insurance could represent a position for the organization that is the lowest risk position but achieved at a high overall cost. The type of total cost of risk calculation undertaken by organizations is now somewhat different. Organizations often use the concept of risk appetite to under- take calculations that identify the level of risk that the organization is willing to accept. The risk appetite of the board can then be compared with the actual risk exposure that the organization faces. The actual risk exposure in this calculation is an updated version of the total cost of risk calculation, but should include all types of risks – not just those that can be insured. Generally speaking, as the marketplace becomes more volatile, the organization will be forced to increase its risk exposure. This requires a discussion in the board- room leading to an agreement to increase the total value that the organization is willing to put at risk and/or to find mechanisms to reduce the total risk exposure. As a consequence, risk management becomes more important in times of rapid change and increased marketplace volatility. Risk exposure will also increase when an organization decides whether to embark on a merger or acquisition. Organizations need to undertake an opportunity analysis of all acquisition opportunities and this analysis should include consideration of at least the following features of the acquisition opportunity: |
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