Investigating Probability Concepts of Secondary Pre-service Teachers in a Game Context


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Investigating Probability Concepts

 
 


Australian Journal of Teacher Education 
Vol 45, 5, May 2020 
109 
4/5. 
Data Collection and Analysis
In groups of three, data is collected and recorded. Next, group results are collated on the 
whiteboard and students analyse the pooled data (eg out of 180 trials).
Class results are compared with students’ initial ideas and group data leading to the 
realization that Esha wins more often than Sarah.  
In groups, students answer the following questions.
• 
What are the chances of Esha winning? 
• 
What are the chances of Sarah winning? 
• 
Is this game fair? Why? 
• 
Draw a graph of the combined data. What patterns do you see in the graph? 
• 
Why is this the best type of graph to use? 
• 
How might this display look if we gathered more data? 
 
 
Focus Questions 
 
• 
Discuss how knowing the expected probabilities helps understand why the game is 
unfair.
• 
What is the expected frequency of (say) score of 4 if you roll the two dice 72 times and 
144 times? 
A Brief Assessment Task
 
Students to decide whether the following statement is true or false and write down 
reasons to support their decision.  
• 
Scoring a total of three with two fair dice is twice as likely as scoring a total of two.

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