Last updated: 08/06/2016 Next update due: Jul-16 0-15
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Last updated: 08/06/2016 Next update due: Jul-16
20,460
19,496 39,956
17.1% 0-15 466,470
445,792 912,262
17.0% 16-29 18,055
16,683 34,738
14.8% 16-29 490,588
488,361 978,949
18.2% 30-44 19,825
21,076 40,901
17.5% 30-44 497,625
520,237 1,017,862 18.9%
25,934
27,311 53,245
22.7% 45-59 565,858
598,073 1,163,931 21.7%
21,587
22,524 44,111
18.8% 60-74 413,656
448,623 862,279
16.0% 75+ 8,816
12,343 21,159
9.0% 75+ 176,272
261,445 437,717
8.1% All ages 114,677
119,433 234,110
100.0% All ages 2,610,469 2,762,531 5,373,000 100.0%
The 2015 population for Highland is 234,110; an increase of 0.4 per cent from 233,080 in 2014. The population of Highland accounts for 4.4 per cent of the total population of Scotland. In Highland, 14.8 per cent of the population are aged 16 to 29 years. This is smaller than Scotland where 18.2 per cent are aged 16 to 29 years. Persons aged 60 and over make up 27.9 per cent of Highland. This is larger than Scotland where 24.2 per cent are aged 60 and over. Since 1989, Highland's total population has risen overall. Scotland's population has also risen over this period.
0 5,000 10,000 15,000
20,000 25,000
30,000 0-15
16-29 30-44
45-59 60-74
75+ P o p u la ti o n Age group Male
Female 0 1,000 2,000 3,000
4,000 5,000
6,000 0 50 100 150
200 250
1 9 8 9 1 9 9 1 1 9 9 3 1 9 9 5 1 9 9 7 1 9 9 9 2 0 0 1 2 0 0 3 2 0 0 5 2 0 0 7 2 0 0 9 2 0 1 1 2 0 1 3 2 0 1 5
e rs o n s ( 1 ,0 0 0 s ) Sc o tl a n d Pe rs o n s ( 1 ,0 0 0 s ) Co u n c il a re a Highland
Scotland 1 © Crown Copyright 2015 Male Female Male Female Highland 1,141
1,092 1,184
1,126 Scotland 28,828
27,186 29,056
27,669 Live births by sex, Highland, 2004-2014 * Live births per 1,000 women aged 15 - 44 Revised rates for 2011 and earlier years will be calculated in due course, after the publication of the rebased population estimates for mid-2002 to mid-2010.
Between 2013 and 2014 Highland experienced a 3.4 per cent increase in the number of births, rising from 2,233 in 2013, to 2,310 in 2014. The number of births in Scotland rose by 1.3 per cent. The most popular name given to boys born in Highland in 2015 was Jack and the most popular name given to girls was Sophie. Fertility in Highland increased from 56.1 births per 1,000 women aged 15 to 44 in 2013, to 58.8 in 2014. For Scotland as a whole, the general feritlity rate increased from 53.7 births per 1,000 women aged 15 to 44 in 2013, to 54.7 in 2014.
3.4%
1.3% General Fertility Rate* (GFR) in Highland and Scotland, 2009-2014 2. The rates were calculated using the original mid-year population estimates for 2011 and earlier years, which are based on the 2001 Census figures. 0 200 400 600
800 1,000
1,200 1,400
2004 2005
2006 2007
2008 2009
2010 2011
2012 2013
2014 N o . o f b irt h s Male
Female 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 2009 2010
2011 2012
2013 2014
Ge n e ra l F e rt il it y R a te Highland
Scotland 2 © Crown Copyright 2015 Deaths and age specific death rates by age group, the combined years 2012-2014 Male Female All Persons Male Female All Persons 0 16 610 1.6 2.8
2.2 3.8
3.1 3.5
1-14 9 257 0.1 0.1
0.1 0.1
0.1 0.1
15-29 65 1,473 0.9 0.4
0.6 0.7
0.3 0.5
30-44 167
4,492 1.8
0.8 1.3
1.9 1.0
1.4 45-64 1,047
23,533 6.2
3.9 5.0
6.5 4.3
5.4 65+ 5,611
133,511 43.8
39.8 41.6
50.0 46.8
48.2 All ages 6,915
163,876 10.2
9.7 9.9
10.2 10.4
10.3 Cause of death in males, Highland, 2014* Cause of death in females, Highland, 2014* * Due to rounding these figures may differ slightly from those published in Vital Events Reference Tables. See 'Data sources' for link to this data. Revised rates for 2011 and earlier years will be calculated in due course, after the publication of the rebased population estimates for mid-2002 to mid-2010.
The number of deaths in Highland decreased from 2,352 in 2013 to 2,325 in 2014. Over the period 2012 to 2014 the overall death rate was higher for males than for females. Compared to Scotland over the period 2012 to 2014, Highland had a lower death rate. The main cause of death in Highland was circulatory disease, followed by cancer.
3 © Crown Copyright 2015 0-15 1,022
938 84
2,354 2,665
-311 30-44 1,709
1,510 199
45-64 1,509
1,276 233
65+ 557
609 -52
All ages 7,151
6,998 153
*Migration figures are based on a 3-year average and include migration within Scotland, between Scotland and the rest of the UK, and between Scotland and overseas. They do not include asylum seekers and armed forces movements. Life Expectancy for Highland and Scotland, 2002-2004 and 2012-2014 Life expectancy at birth in Highland and Scotland, 2012-2014 Male Female Male Female 2012-2014 78.3
82.8 18.5
21.2 2002-2004 74.5
79.8 - - Male Female Male Female 2012-2014 77.1
81.1 17.4
19.7 2002-2004 73.8
79.0 - - % Change between 2002- 2004 and 2012- 2014 4.6%
2.7% - - Migration 4 Migration, in, out, and net, Highland, annual average 2012-14* On average in 2012-14 there was a net inflow of 153 people into Highland per year, meaning that more people entered Highland (7,151 per year) than left (6,998 per year). The 16 to 29 year olds age group accounted for the largest group of in-migrants into Highland. The largest group of out-migrants was also the 16 to 29 year olds.
Female life expectancy at birth (82.8 years) is greater than male life expectancy (78.3 years), and both were greater than the Scottish average. Male life expectancy at birth in Highland is improving more rapidly than female life expectancy. In Highland female life expectancy at age 65 (21.2 years) is greater than male life expectancy at age 65 (18.5 years). Highland Life expectancy at birth Life expectancy at 65 % Change between 2002- 2004 and 2012- 2014 5.1%
3.9% - - Scotland Life expectancy at birth Life expectancy at 65 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 Highland Scotland
Y e a rs Male
Female -3,000
-2,000 -1,000
0 1,000
2,000 3,000
0-15 16-29
30-44 45-64
65+ P e rs o n s Age group IN-Migration OUT-Migration NET-Migration 4 © Crown Copyright 2015 Number of people marrying in Highland and Scotland by 10-year age group, 2014 Number of marriages in Highland and Scotland, 2004-2014 Age group No. of people marrying in Highland No. of people marrying in Scotland % of people marrying in Highland % of people marrying in Scotland 16-24 205
4,527 6.8%
7.8% 25-34 1,387
28,227 45.8%
48.6% 35-44 733
12,912 24.2%
22.2% 45+ 705
12,472 23.3%
21.5% All ages 3,030
58,138 100.0%
100.0% Male Female Male Female Highland 7 10 6 5
217 313
193 243
Marriages & Civil Partnerships There were 1,515 marriages in Highland in 2014; an increase of 1.6 per cent from 2013. In Highland 45.8 per cent of people marrying in 2014 were aged 25-34. In Scotland as a whole 48.6 per cent of people marrying were in this age group. Since 2004 the number of marriages in Highland has fallen by 10.9 per cent. Scotland has seen an increase during the same period of time. Civil partnerships in Highland have decreased in 2014 compared with 2013. Scotland has seen a decrease during the same period of time.
0 5,000 10,000 15,000
20,000 25,000
30,000 35,000
0 200
400 600
800 1,000
1,200 1,400
1,600 1,800
2,000 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 S c o tl a n d C o u n c il A re a Highland
Scotland 5 © Crown Copyright 2015 The population aged under 16 in Highland is projected to decline by 7.2 per cent over the 25 year period. Projected population, by age group, in Highland, 2012-2037 Base
Base year 2012 2017 2022 2027 2032 2037 0-15 40,881
39,878 39,903
39,301 38,884
37,935 16-29 34,892
34,043 32,600
31,173 30,538
30,478 30-49 61,096
57,478 55,640
56,961 56,277
54,903 50-64 50,993
52,872 53,342
50,136 46,726
45,212 65-74 25,312
29,209 30,596
31,774 33,978
33,628 75+ 19,736
22,623 27,417
32,756 37,066
41,337 All ages 232,910
236,103 239,498
242,101 243,469
243,493 * Natural change equals births minus deaths Population Projections By 2037 the population of Highland is projected to be 243,493, an increase of 4.5 per cent compared to the population in 2012. The population of Scotland is projected to increase by 8.8 per cent between 2012 and 2037. Over the 25 year period, the age group that is projected to increase the most in size in Highland is the 75+ age group. This is the same as for Scotland as a whole. Age group Projected years Percentage change in population in Highland and Scotland, 2012-2037 (2012-based projections) Components of projected population change for Highland and Scotland, 2012-2037 (2012-based projections) -20%
0% 20%
40% 60%
80% 100%
120% 0-15
16-29 30-49
50-64 65-74
75+ P e rc e n ta g e c h a n g e Age group Highland
Scotland -4%
-2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% Highland
Scotland P e rc e n ta g e c h a n g e Natural Change* Net Migration Total Change 6 © Crown Copyright 2015 Household estimates for Highland and Scotland, 2007-2015 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 97,825
99,459 100,610
101,506 102,378
103,317 104,445
105,711 106,834
1.1% 5.2%
2,318,966 2,337,967 2,351,780 2,364,850 2,376,424 2,387,211 2,401,788 2,418,335 2,433,956 0.6%
2.9% Number of dwellings in Highland and Scotland, June 2007-2015 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 106,918
108,438 109,617
110,788 111,830
112,812 113,703
114,603 115,538
0.8% 4.3%
2,440,596 2,460,883 2,476,157 2,488,496 2,500,849 2,515,042 2,526,870 2,540,561 2,557,582 0.7%
2.8% Households & Dwellings The 2015 estimate of the number of households in Highland is 106,834. This is a 1.1 per cent increase in the 2014 figure of 105,711, compared to a 0.6 per cent increase in Scotland as a whole. The proportion of these households receiving a single adult Council Tax discount is 32.3 per cent. For Scotland, this figure is 37.4 per cent. With regards to the dwellings in Highland, 94 per cent are occupied, 3 per cent are vacant and 4 per cent are second homes. The proportions of dwellings in Scotland which are vacant and second homes are 3.1 per cent and 1.1 per cent, respectively. The 2015 estimate of the number of dwellings in Highland is 115,538. This is an increase of 0.8 per cent from 2014 and compares to a 0.7 per cent increase across Scotland as a whole. Year % change 2014-2015 % change 2010-2015 Highland Scotland Year % change 2014-2015 % change 2010-2015 Highland Scotland Number of households in Highland and Scotland, 2007-2015 Number of dwellings in Highland and Scotland, 2007-2015 Types of dwelling in Highland, 2014 Proportions of dwellings by Council Tax band in Highland, 2015 0 500 1,000 1,500
2,000 2,500
3,000 0 20 40 60 80 100 120
2007 2008
2009 2010
2011 2012
2013 2014
2015 N u mb e r o f h o u s e h o ld s ( 1 ,0 0 0 s ) Sc ot lan d N u mb e r o f h o u s e h o ld s ( 1 ,0 0 0 s ) C o u n c il a re a Year Highland
Scotland 13% 18% 24% 41% 4% Flat Terraced Semi-detached Detached Unknown 57% 31% 12% A-C D-E F-H 0 500 1,000 1,500
2,000 2,500
3,000 0 20 40 60 80 100 120
140 2007
2008 2009
2010 2011
2012 2013
2014 2015
N u mb e r o f d w e ll in g s ( 1 ,0 0 0 s ) S c o tl a n d N u mb e r o f d w e ll in g s ( 1 ,0 0 0 s ) C o u n c il a re a Year Highland
Scotland 7 © Crown Copyright 2015 Base-year Projected number of households 2012 2017 2022 2027 2032 2037 34,042
36,316 38,396
40,270 41,899
43,317 35%
5,812 6,163
6,500 6,833
7,178 7,474
27% 8,191
8,086 7,796
7,409 7,019
6,747 -17%
20,121 19,276
18,540 17,964
17,483 16,972
-11% 103,317
107,320 110,618
113,298 115,260
116,513 2,387,207 2,477,212 2,565,377 2,644,418 2,716,698 2,782,774 17%
Base-year Projected number of households 2012 2017 2022 2027 2032 2037 8,977
9,046 8,922
8,297 8,198
8,261 5% 23,442 22,548 23,177
23,689 23,349
22,830 7% 30,922 31,476 29,740
27,775 26,953
27,684 1% 26,069 28,327 29,586
30,628 30,799
28,857 16%
13,907 15,924
19,192 22,909
25,961 28,881
82% 103,317
107,320 110,618
113,298 115,260
116,513 2,387,207 2,477,212 2,565,377 2,644,418 2,716,698 2,782,774 17%
Household Projections The total number of households in Highland is projected to change from 103,317 in 2012 to 116,513 in 2037, which is an increase of 13 per cent. In Scotland as a whole, the projected number of households is set to increase by 17 per cent over the same 25 year period. In Scotland, the number of lone adult households is projected to increase by 35 per cent over the 25 year period. In Highland, the number of lone adult households is projected to increase by 27 per cent, and the number of larger households in Highland is projected to fall, with the number of households of 2 or more adults with children decreasing by 16 per cent over the 25 year period. The average household size is projected to decrease from 2.22 in 2012 to 2.04 in 2037. In Highland, households headed by 60-74 year olds are projected to increase in number by 11 per cent, and those headed by the 75+ age group are projected to increase in number by 108 per cent between the years 2012 and 2037. Projected number of households in Highland and Scotland, 2012-2037 Projected percentage change in household, by household type, in Highland and Scotland, 2012-2037 Household type % change in Highland 2012-2037 % change in Scotland 2012-2037 1 adult 27%
1 adult with 1 or more children 29%
3 or more adults -18%
2 or more adults with 1 or more children -16%
Total households - Highland 13%
Total households - Scotland Household by age of head of household % change in Highland 2012-2037 % change in Scotland 2012-2037 16-29 years -8%
75+ years 108%
30-44 years -3%
45-59 years -10%
Total households - Highland 13%
Total households - Scotland 60-74 years 11%
0 500
1,000 1,500
2,000 2,500
3,000 0 20 40 60 80 100 120
140 2012
2017 2022
2027 2032
2037 N u mb e r o f h o u s e h o ld s ( 1 ,0 0 0 s ) S c o tl a n d N u m b e r o f h o u s e h o ld s ( 1 ,0 0 0 s ) C o u n c il a re a Year Highland
Scotland -30%
-20% -10%
0% 10%
20% 30%
40% 1 adult
1 adult with 1 or more children 3 or more adults 2 or more adults with 1 or more children
P e rc e n ta g e c h a n g e Highland
Scotland 8 © Crown Copyright 2015 Data Sources - 03/06/2016 Population Update the 'Total population' and 'latest MYE' worksheets Data
Source Next update due Link Current population estimates Mid-year Population Estimates Scotland: Table 1 Apr-17
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/population/population-estimates/mid-year-population-estimates Time series population estimates Population Estimates Time Series Data (first table in the list) Apr-17
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/population/population-estimates/mid-year-population-estimates/population-estimates-time-series-data Births Update the 'Fertility', 'Popular names', and 'Births' worksheets Data
Source Next update due Link Fertility rates Vital Events Reference Tables: Table 3.8 Aug-16
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/vital-events/vital-events-reference-tables Popular names Vital Events Popular Forenames: Table 3 Dec-16
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/vital-events/births/popular-names Births
Births Time Series Data: Table 'Births by Council Area, by sex, 1997 to…..' Aug-16
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/vital-events/births/births-time-series-data Deaths Update the 'VE deaths latest', 'combined deaths', 'comb.MYE', 'cause of death' and 'VE ref table - 6.3 (cause)' worksheets Data
Source Next update due Link Deaths
Vital Events Reference Tables: Table 5.2 Aug-16
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/vital-events/vital-events-reference-tables Death rates Vital Events Reference Tables: Table 5.2 Aug-16
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/vital-events/vital-events-reference-tables Mid-year Population Estimates Scotland: Table 2 Aug-16 http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/population/population-estimates/mid-year-population-estimates Cause of death Vital Events Reference Tables: Table 6.3 Aug-16 http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/vital-events/vital-events-reference-tables Migration Update the 'Migration2', 'Migration 3', and 'total migration' worksheets Data
Source Next update due Link Total migration Total Net Migration by Council Area by Single Year of Age and Sex Jul-16
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/migration/migration-statistics/total-migration-to-or-from-an-area Life Expectancy update the 'LE' worksheet Data
Source Next update due Link Life exp. at birth Life Expectancy for Administrative Areas within Scotland: Tables 6 and 7 Oct-16
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/life-expectancy/life-expectancy-in-scottish-areas Life exp. at age 65 Life Expectancy for Administrative Areas within Scotland: Table 10 Oct-16
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/life-expectancy/life-expectancy-in-scottish-areas Marriages & Civil Partnerships Data
Source Next update due Link Civil Partnerships Vital Events Reference Tables: Table 1.3 Aug-16
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/vital-events/vital-events-reference-tables Total Marriages Vital Events Reference Tables: Table 1.3 Aug-16
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/vital-events/vital-events-reference-tables Marriages by 10yr age groups Request from Vital Events branch Aug-16
email: customer@gro-scotland.gsi.gov.uk Pop Projections Update the 'Population Projections', 'Pop Proj Table2' and 'components of change' worksheet Data
Source Next update due Link Population projections Population Projections for Scottish Areas: Table 2 Jun-16
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/population/population-projections/sub-national-population-projections Components of change Population Projections for Scottish Areas: Table A Jun-16
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/population/population-projections/sub-national-population-projections Household & Dwellings Update 'Household Estimates', 'No. of Dwellings', 'Occupied and Vacant Dwellings' and 'Characteristics of Dwellings' worksheets Data
Source Next update due Link Occupied and Vacant Dwellings Estimates of Households & Dwellings: Table 4a Jun-17
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/housholds/household-estimates Characteristics of Dwellings Estimates of Households & Dwellings: Table 6 Jun-17
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/housholds/household-estimates Household Estimates Estimates of Households & Dwellings: Table 1 Jun-17
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/housholds/household-estimates Number of Dwellings Estimates of Households & Dwellings: Table 2 Jun-17
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/housholds/household-estimates Household Projections Update the 'Total Household Projections', 'household Projections by type', 'Household Proj by age of head' and 'Projected Average household Data
Source Next update due Link Projected number of households Household Projections for Scotland: Tables 9, 11, 12, 13 Oct-16
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/housholds/household-projections Head of household data Household Projections for Scotland: Tables 15, 16, 17, 18, 19 Oct-16
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/housholds/household-projections Projected household size Household Projections for Scotland: Table 7 Oct-16
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/housholds/household-projections % change in household size Household Projections for Scotland: Table 7 Oct-16
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/housholds/household-projections 9
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