Microsoft Word io elliott Wave Theory doc


Download 1.72 Mb.
Pdf ko'rish
bet20/68
Sana05.04.2023
Hajmi1.72 Mb.
#1276674
1   ...   16   17   18   19   20   21   22   23   ...   68
Bog'liq
A J Frost, Robert Prechter Elliott

Next Lesson: The Guideline of Alternation 
 
Lesson 10: The guideline of alternation 
The guidelines presented in Lessons 10-15 are discussed and illustrated in the context of a bull 
market. Except where specifically excluded, they apply equally in bear markets, in which context the 
illustrations and implications would be inverted. 
Alternation 
The guideline of alternation is very broad in its application and warns the analyst always to expect a 
difference in the next expression of a similar wave. Hamilton Bolton said, 
The writer is not convinced that alternation is inevitable in types of waves in larger formations, but 
there are frequent enough cases to suggest that one should look for it rather than the contrary. 
Although alternation does not say precisely what is going to happen, it gives valuable notice of what 
not to expect and is therefore useful to keep in mind when analyzing wave formations and assessing 
future possibilities. It primarily instructs the analyst not to assume, as most people tend to do, that 
because the last market cycle behaved in a certain manner, this one is sure to be the same. As 
"contrarians" never cease to point out, the day that most investors "catch on" to an apparent habit of 
the market is the day it will change to one completely different. However, Elliott went further in stating 
that, in fact, alternation was virtually a law of markets. 
Alternation Within Impulses 
If wave two of an impulse is a sharp correction, expect wave four to be a sideways correction, and vice 
versa. Figure 2-1 shows the most characteristic breakdowns of impulse waves, both up
and down, as suggested by the guideline of alternation. Sharp corrections never include a new price 
extreme, i.e., one that lies beyond the orthodox end of the preceding impulse wave. They are almost 
always zigzags (single, double or triple); occasionally they are double threes that begin with a zigzag. 
Sideways corrections include flats, triangles, and double and triple corrections. They usually include a 
new price extreme, i.e., one that lies beyond the orthodox end of the preceding impulse wave. In rare 
cases, a regular triangle (one that does not include a new price extreme) in the fourth wave position 
will take the place of a sharp correction and alternate with another type of sideways pattern in the 
second wave position. The idea of alternation within impulses can be summarized by saying that one 


33
of the two corrective processes will contain a move back to or beyond the end of the preceding 
impulse, and the other will not. 
Figure 2-1 
Diagonal triangles do not display alternation between subwaves 2 and 4. Typically they are both 
zigzags. Extensions are an expression of alternation, as the motive waves alternate their lengths. 
Typically the first is short, the third is extended, and the fifth is short again. Extensions, which normally 
occur in wave 3, sometimes occur in wave 1 or 5, another manifestation of alternation. 
Alternation Within Corrective Waves 
If a large correction begins with a flat a-b-c construction for wave A, expect a zigzag a-b-c formation 
for wave B (see Figure 2-2), and vice versa (see Figure 2-3). With a moment's thought, it is obvious 
that this occurrence is sensible, since the first illustration reflects an upward bias in both subwaves 
while the second reflects a downward bias. 
Figure 2-2 


34
Figure 2-3 
Quite often, if a large correction begins with a simple a-b-c zigzag for wave A, wave B will stretch out 
into a more intricately subdivided a-b-c zigzag to achieve a type of alternation, as in Figure 2-4. 
Sometimes wave C will be yet more complex, as in Figure 2-5. The reverse order of complexity is 
somewhat less common. 
Figure 2-4 
Figure 2-5 

Download 1.72 Mb.

Do'stlaringiz bilan baham:
1   ...   16   17   18   19   20   21   22   23   ...   68




Ma'lumotlar bazasi mualliflik huquqi bilan himoyalangan ©fayllar.org 2024
ma'muriyatiga murojaat qiling