Productivity in the economies of Europe
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www.ssoar.info Productivity in the economies of Europe Fremdling, Rainer (Ed.); O'Brien, Patrick K. (Ed.) Veröffentlichungsversion / Published Version Konferenzband / conference proceedings Zur Verfügung gestellt in Kooperation mit / provided in cooperation with: GESIS - Leibniz-Institut für Sozialwissenschaften Empfohlene Zitierung / Suggested Citation: Fremdling, Rainer (Ed.) ; O'Brien, Patrick K. (Ed.): Productivity in the economies of Europe. Stuttgart : Klett- Cotta, 1983 (Historisch-Sozialwissenschaftliche Forschungen : quantitative sozialwissenschaftliche Analysen von historischen und prozeß-produzierten Daten 15). - ISBN 3-608-91116-2. URN: http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:0168- ssoar-329272 Nutzungsbedingungen: Dieser Text wird unter einer Deposit-Lizenz (Keine Weiterverbreitung - keine Bearbeitung) zur Verfügung gestellt. Gewährt wird ein nicht exklusives, nicht übertragbares, persönliches und beschränktes Recht auf Nutzung dieses Dokuments. Dieses Dokument ist ausschließlich für den persönlichen, nicht-kommerziellen Gebrauch bestimmt. Auf sämtlichen Kopien dieses Dokuments müssen alle Urheberrechtshinweise und sonstigen Hinweise auf gesetzlichen Schutz beibehalten werden. Sie dürfen dieses Dokument nicht in irgendeiner Weise abändern, noch dürfen Sie dieses Dokument für öffentliche oder kommerzielle Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, aufführen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen. Mit der Verwendung dieses Dokuments erkennen Sie die Nutzungsbedingungen an. Terms of use: This document is made available under Deposit Licence (No Redistribution - no modifications). We grant a non-exclusive, non- transferable, individual and limited right to using this document. This document is solely intended for your personal, non- commercial use. All of the copies of this documents must retain all copyright information and other information regarding legal protection. You are not allowed to alter this document in any way, to copy it for public or commercial purposes, to exhibit the document in public, to perform, distribute or otherwise use the document in public. By using this particular document, you accept the above-stated conditions of use. HSF Historisch-Sozialwissenschaftliche Forschungen Quantitative sozial wissenschaftliche Analysen von historischen und prozeß-produzierten Daten Herausgegeben von Heinrich Best, Wolfgang Bick, Paul J. Müller, Herbert Reinke, Wilhelm H. Schröder Zentrum für historische Sozialforschung Band 15 Klett-Cotta Rainer Fremdling and Patrick K. O'Brien (eds.) Productivity in the Economies of Europe Klett-Cotta CIP-Kurztitelaufnahme der Deutschen Bibliothek Productivity in the economies of Europe / Rainer Fremdling and Patrick K. O'Brien (eds.). - Stuttgart: Klett-Cotta, 1983. (Historisch-sozialwissenschaftliche Forschungen; Bd. 15) ISBN 3-608-91116-2 NE: Fremdling, Rainer [Hrsg.]; GT Alle Rechte vorbehalten Fotomechanische Wiedergabe nur mit Genehmigung des Verlages Verlagsgemeinschaft Ernst Klett-J. G. Cotta'sche Buchhandlung Nachfolger GmbH © Ernst Klett, Stuttgart 1983. Printed in Germany Gesamtherstellung: Zechnersche Buchdruckerei, Speyer ISBN 3-608-91116-2 ISSN 0713-2153 (Historisch-Sozialwissenschaftliche Forschungen) Preface Contents Jos Delbeke, Herman Van der Wee Richard Tilly William P. Kennedy Patrick K. O'Brien Part 1: Concepts Quantitative Research in Economic History in Europe after 1945. 11 Zusammenfassung: Der Stand der europäischen Wirtschaftshistoriographie nach 1945. 29 Per Capita Income and Productivity as Indices of Development and Welfare. Some Comments on Kuznetsian Economic History. 30 Zusammenfassung: Pro-Kopf-Einkommen und Produktivität als Indikatoren für Entwicklung und Wohlstand. Bemerkungen zur Kuznetsianischen Wirtschaftsgeschichte. 56 Problems of Accountancy and Interpretation in Assessing Long-Term Economic Performance. 57 Zusammenfassung: Probleme der volkswirtschaft¬ lichen Gesamtrechnung und ihrer Interpretation bei der Bewertung langfristiger wirtschaftlicher Leistungen. 77 The Analysis and Measurement of the Service Econ¬ omy in European Economic History. 79 Zusammenfassung: Messung und Analyse des Dienst¬ leistungssektors in der europäischen Wirtschaftsge¬ schichte. 88 Robert C. Allen Recent Developments in Production, Cost, and Index Number Theory, with an Application to International Differences in the Cost and Efficiency of Steelmaking in 1907/09. 90 Zusammenfassung: Neuere Entwicklungen in der Produktions- und Kostentheorie sowie in der Index¬ zifferntheorie und ihre Anwendung auf internationale Kosten- und Leistungsunterschiede bei der Stahl¬ herstellung in den Jahren 1907 und 1909. 99 Part 2: Empirical Studies Angus Maddison Measuring Long Term Growth and Productivity Change on a Macro-economic Level. 101 Zusammenfassung: Die Messung von langfristigem Wirtschaftswachstum und Produktivitätsänderungen auf makroökonomischer Ebene. 107 Carl-Ludwig Holtfrerich Gabriel Tortella Jean Gadisseur Rainer Fremdling Rainer Metz The Growth of Net Domestic Product in Germany, 1850-1913. 124 Zusammenfassung: Das Wachstum des Nettoinlands- produkts in Deutschland, 1850-1913. 131 National Income Estimation by Means of Monetary Variables, the Case of Spain, 1772-1972. Some Preliminary Results. 133 Zusammenfassung: Die Schätzung des Volksein¬ kommens anhand monetärer Variablen am Beispiel Spaniens, 1772-1972. 139 Output per Worker and its Evolution in Belgian Industry, 1846-1910. 141 Zusammenfassung: Entwicklung der Arbeitsproduk¬ tivität in der belgischen Industrie von 1846 bis 1910. 151 Foreign Trade Patterns, Technical Change, Cost and Productivity in the West European Iron Industries, 1820-1870. 152 Zusammenfassung: Außenhandelsstruktur, technischer Wandel, Kosten und Produktivität in der Eisenin¬ dustrie Westeuropas, 1820-1870. 174 „Long Waves" in English and German Economic Historical Series from the Middle of the Sixteenth to the Middle of the Twentieth Century. Zusammenfassung: "Lange Wellen" in wirtschafts¬ historischen Reihen Englands und Deutschlands von der Mitte des 16. bis zur Mitte des 20. Jahr¬ hunderts. 175 218 List of Contributors and Participants Contributors' Affiliations and Addresses 220 221 Preface Conference papers normally emerge as the product of an idea and are usually fo¬ cussed around a theme. The papers included in this volume were submitted for a meeting held at the Zentrum für Interdisziplinäre Forschung of Bielefeld University. That meeting was designed as a preparatory Conference for a group of European eco¬ nomic historians who have informally engaged in discussions to write a new eco¬ nomic history of Western Europe. Their plans have been stimulated by a shared dissatisfaction with the way eco¬ nomic history of Europe is now taught and written at universities throughout the continent and North America. They believe that the subject lacks a comparative per¬ spective and a common method of approach which could supply coherence to the continued accumulation of data and historical narratives on a country by country ba¬ sis. In brief they all feel it is time to break away from national history and the study of Europe's past economic development in terms of compartmentalized country stud¬ ies and suggest that "European" economic history needs to be focussed on the meas¬ urement and explanation of differences in the levels of income and productivity at¬ tained by national economies for bench mark periods between the late eighteenth and the mid twentieth centuries. Until such a Statistical framework is established, many scholars who now research and teach in the expanding field of European economic history find it difficult to identify a central set of problems for their articles, books and lectures. Standard texts in the subject refer to "Europe", but they assemble together country studies which describe and analyse the process of economic development within a purely national context. They are cases which summarize and synthesize ongoing historical research State by state. Explicit comparisons across national frontiers constitute a rather lim¬ ited part of the book and are often relegated to conclusions. For method, economic histories of Europe tend to rely upon preliminary chapters which guide students to¬ wards an understanding of the historical mechanisms through which such major in¬ puts as capital, labour, technology, land, the widening of markets, demand and entre¬ preneurs, generated the observed growth of output for particular countries. And they depend for coherence upon a diffusion model which for the period before 1914 pushes enquiry towards an explanation for the British lead and Continental lags in high rates of capital formation and the adoption of advanced industrial and agrarian technology. Objections to and dissatisfaction with recent attempts to write European economic history as technological diffusion or in terms of accelerated rates of invest¬ ment are already well known. Nevertheless, typologies of development propounded by Rostow, Gerschenkron and Landes in the 1950s continue to dominate and to pro¬ vide heuristic devices for the Organization of runs of data and the plethora of scho¬ larly country studies now available. Many scholars in this field now expect that the elements of a new approach could emerge simply by bringing together the considerable but separated bodies of statis¬ tics we now possess for individual countries into a multinational frame of reference. Perhaps the most obvious and urgent task of the discipline is to restructure and to re- constitute the economic data available into a form that will permit ready compari¬ sons across the countries and across the regions of Europe. To advance further, Eu¬ ropean economic history should be firmly established on the basis of statistics which will command the respect of scholars throughout the continent. Such statistics would hopefully inciude the conventional kind of numbers readily accessible to economists and historians who are concemed with the development of Europe in the second half ofthe 20th Century; for example, those familiär calculations of per capita incomes expressed in a common currency and numerous indicators of partial productivity for agriculture and industry which form the indispensable basis for analysis into con¬ trasts in living Standards and economic efficiency among the economies of Europe at the present time. Certainly the amount of information available for earlier periods will be more lim¬ ited. While the task of collating and structuring local and national statistics into a form which will allow historians to compare levels of welfare and productivity across national boundaries will require a sustained effort of research and co-operation from scholars in several European universities. There are, moreover, problems of method and definition to be solved before the search for data can begin. But the concepts connected with international comparisons of income and productivity have been ex¬ tensively discussed by economists. And the voluminous research over the past three decades on the quantitative economic history of European countries indicates that a considerable volume of statistics are available to be collated into countrywide or re¬ gional averages and presented in form which would facilitate international compari¬ sons. When an acceptable body of data has been gamered (largely from published sources) and presented as sets of tables, the gaps in living Standards among Euro¬ pean populations can be located and quantified. Historians will be able to distin¬ guish the share of the differential attributable to differences in the allocation of la¬ bour between industry and agriculture from the share attributable to national differ¬ ences in the productivity of labour employed in industry and agriculture. Differen¬ tials in labour productivities can then be broken down between industries and sectors of agriculture. The productivity and role of the service sector can be fitted into the picture. Finally scholars could then proceed to analyse such differences in terms of capital-labour ratios, natural endowments, the diffusion of technology, variations in pattems of demand, the size of the market, etc. in different parts of Europe. At this stage (when salient differences between nations are clear and quantified) they can then begin to utilize, to modify and to construct modeis of economic growth to ac¬ count for differences in their patterns and rates of growth over the long run. All the scholars who met at Bielefeld believe that the Statistical building blocks for an economic history of Europe must take the form of measures of the productivities of labour employed in producing the manifold commodities and Services which make up the output of a given country. They recognized they could not hope to make pro¬ ductivity estimates for more than a selection of the principal commodities produced in the 19th and 20th centuries. But if the Utility of the ideas is appreciated the exam¬ ple should stimulate further research by others along similar lines. Meanwhile the production of estimates related to such obvious and major com¬ modities as grain, meat, wine, coal, textiles, iron and steel, bricks, ships and railways 8 (just to take some obvious examples) should enable historians to begin to base Eu- rope's economic history upon a valid body of statistics and focus it firmly upon an attempt to account for measured differences in levels of productivity over fairly long periods of time. Statistics are only a preface to historical enquiry. But once they are collated into the required form, the analysis of contrasts and changes over the long run in labour productivity can begin and at that stage the relative significance of agriculture, food supplies, capital, the diffusion of advanced technology and other elements, which are the preoccupations of economic historians, can be appreciated and a European per¬ spective brought to bear upon the national histories of its constituent states. At that point not only should a "real" economic history of Europe become possible but the finished study could exercise a real influence upon the teaching and writing of na¬ tional economic history because the collection and proper arrangement of data on differences in productivity among European economies is probably indispensable for a deeper understanding of the long term economic evolution of individual states. For its preparatory meeting at Bielefeld the group concentrated on three themes re¬ lated to these broad ideas and objectives: first, the recent development and present state of European economic history (discussion was organized around the opening paper presented by Herman Van der Wee and Jos Delbeke and an address by Peter Mathias); secondly, a lively and protracted debate took place in several sessions con¬ cemed with the conceptual problems involved in the measurement and comparisons of income and productivity across countries (papers by Richard Tilly, Patrick O'Brien and Gianni Toniolo raised most ofthe theoretical issues which could arise); thirdly, our deliberations became more concrete when the Download 78.27 Kb. Do'stlaringiz bilan baham: |
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