Syllabus T. Y. B. A. Paper : IV advanced economic theory with effect from academic year 2010-11 in idol
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T.Y.B.A. Economics Paper - IV - Advanced Economic Theory (Eng)
4. 8.3 Critical Evaluation:
There is no denying that the exponents of the loanable fund theory had a better under standing of the events in the capital market. It was realised that the flow of money on to the market was not the same thing as voluntary savings. They also realised that the flow of securities on to the market was not the same thing as investment. It was realised that the flow! of money on to the market could be regulated by monetary authorities. It was also understood that the flow of securties on the market depended not only on the need to borrow for investment by the issue of new securities but also on the attitude of the investors towards) the holding of existing securities. The loanable fund theory made another correction in the classical theory The exponents I of the theory had understood the importance of changes in asset preferences in determining | prices in the capital market. It was clearly seen that quite independently of savings and| investment, a selling or buying pressure could be built up as a result of investors desiring to I have more or less idle cash balances. Thus, they incorporated the concept off hoarding — demand for money —into their analysis. The loanable funds theory brings out the fact that the rate of interest established on the basis of the demand and supply of loanable funds is different from that which is arrived at by the intersection of the saving and investment curves. In this theory, unlike the classical theory, there is no equilibrium between savings and investment. Even though the exponents of the loanable fund theory tried to synthesize the classical and the Keynesian theories of interest by taking into consideration the saving and investment demand (in real terms) of the classical theory and liquidity preference (monetary) of Keynes, it is still open to some basic criticism. 1. As pointed out by Newlyn, "the theory is really a mixture of flows and stocks-voluntary savings and investment expenditure are straight forward flow concepts, just as they are in the classical theory, but hoarding and new money are not —They are in fact changes in stocks These magnitudes cannot be defined without reference to some time period. It is therefore necessary to specify a time period applicable to the analysis. 2. Hansen has pointed out that the theory is indeterminate, that is, it cannot determine interest. According to this theory, supply of loanable funds is one of the two factors determining rate of interest. But supply of loanable funds is a function of (depends on) income ; income depends upon investment, and investment, in turn, is governed by the rate of interest. It means that we must first know the rate of interest before we can determine investment, income, and finally the supply of loanable funds. The theory which needs before-hand knowledge of the rate of interest cannot itself explain the determination of the rate of interest. 3. According to Ackley, the loanable fund theory, when viewed as a statement of static equilibrium condition, presents nothing new. In static equilibrium position, both bank money (BM) and hoarding (H) must be zero. Thus, we are left with savings and investment only and we go back to the classical theory. It is better to regard it as a disequilibrium theory concerned with dynamic analysis. 4. The theory is also criticised for combining monetary factors with the real factors influencing the rate of interest. The two sets of factors are totally different as regards their origin and impact. They should, therefore, be separately accounted for by taking income changes as the reconciling factor. Only then, we can get a determinate theory of interest. 5. Keynes regards the concept of hoarding as used in the loanable fund theory as dubious. His argument is that so long as amount of money remains the same, hoarding simply can not increase or decrease. Money in circulation in the economy has to be in somebody's cash balances at any time. The hoarding of money by one person is cancelled by the dishoarding of another. This criticism of the theory is misplaced because while keynes takes stock of money at a point of time, the loanable fund theory takes flow of loanable funds over a period of time. Halm rightly observes that "The total quantity of money may well be the same in the beginning and end of the period, but the velocity of circulation of money may nevertheless have changed ; and it is this change in velocity of circulation of money which is partly caused by hoarding. An increase in idle balances at the expense of active balances is hoarding and results in a reduction in the velocity of circulation of money. The time duration of the idleness of money might change, changing at the same time the supply of loan able funds." Despite these limitations, the loan able fund theory marks an improvement on the classical theory in the following respects. 1. The loan able fund theory assigns an active role to money in the determination of the rate of interest, where as the classical theory treats money as a passive factor —a mere veil. 2. The loan able fund theory is more realistic because it is stated in both real as well as monetary terms. The classical theory, in contrast, is stated only in real terms. 3. The loan able fund theory takes into account the influence of bank credit and hoarding. Bank credit influences the supply of money while hoarding is a factor influencing demand for loan able funds. These two factors were just ignored by classical economists. Download 1.59 Mb. Do'stlaringiz bilan baham: |
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