The black forest storm of 15 july 2007: numerical simulation and sensitivity studies


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Radar reflectivity : Time evolution of the 10 dBZ contour



Radar reflectivity : Time evolution of the 10 dBZ contour



Motivations and outlines











Surface moisture analysis : 00UTC



Sensitivity tests





Water vapor mixing ratio @ 13 UTC



Water vapor mixing ratio @ 13 UTC





Summary / Conclusion





MESO-NH Forecasts





Morning Afternoon









Convergence > 0.5 10 -3 s-1 + streamlines @1000m



Convergence > 0.5 10 -3 s-1 + streamlines @1000m







Convergence line in the lee of the Feldberg:





Observation / Simulation



Observation / Simulation




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