The Road to Successful Trading
Download 2.03 Mb. Pdf ko'rish
|
my trading plan
Selection Filters
The first step in the trading paradigm is trade selection. For traders who trade in equities, each trade selection is the starting point for each trade. However, some traders become experts on just a few investments like a few currency pairs or commodities and the actual trade selection is only important when looking for alternatives when the main vehicles are not acting as they should. A filter is usually a set of technical indicators used to help select a potential trade out of the thousands of possibilities. Each equity price and volume creates data that can be analyzed in the attempt to fathom the future; “technical entrails”, if you will. Data is food for computers and programs have been developed to reach out and grab specific data that can be “screened” for its pertinence to a selection. For example, a filter can be set up to collect the data on stocks that have an RSI (Relative Strength Index) of below 30% if a trader is looking for a possible reversal in direction. Another filter might look for stocks with a low P/E and increasing cash flow. A filter can be designed for an almost unlimited number of indicators depending on what indicators the trader feels provide valuable information. As a general rule, a “high probability trade” will exist when a multiple of indicators support each other. Two things are needed to develop a selection filter: 1) a data feed; and 2) computer program. Data service providers used to be expensive but now most trading platforms offered by brokers provide data-free of charge-to clients. In addition, most trading platforms offer a fairly wide variety of filters and charts. However, as these programs are usually “heavy”, you should have a computer How to Design and Construct An Effective Trading Plan 38 with a lot of power and speed otherwise, you may find yourself nervously tapping your pencil and swearing at the computer as you wait for it to give up the information you want. Many screening programs allow you to select the filters you want. The following is an actual screening filter developed and used by a stock option position trader. The trader is looking for a high probability trade where the stock will be reversing its short term up trend. 1. Increasing Put/Call ratio 2. RSI Above 70% 3. Price near upper Bollinger Band 4. Decreasing volume 5. Increasing Implied Volatility 6. Decreasing Detrended Price Oscillator 7. 20 day SMA starting to roll over To this particular trader, these are important indicators which he/she feels provide a significant indication of future direction of price movement. If at least six of the seven indicators support the thesis that the trend will be reversing soon (for the position trader this would mean within the next three weeks or so), the trader will put the stock on a priority list of potential trades. Needless to say, there are probably as many filter setups as there are traders! However, these filters are not arbitrary in any sense of the word. To set up a proper selection filter, a trader needs a solid understanding of what each indicator implies and enough experience with them to feel confident that they reveal significant information. Download 2.03 Mb. Do'stlaringiz bilan baham: |
Ma'lumotlar bazasi mualliflik huquqi bilan himoyalangan ©fayllar.org 2024
ma'muriyatiga murojaat qiling
ma'muriyatiga murojaat qiling