Thinking, Fast and Slow
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Daniel-Kahneman-Thinking-Fast-and-Slow
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probability preference reversals; unjust premonition, use of word premortem pretentiousness language pricing policies priming; anchoring as t="-5%"> Princeton University probability; base rates in, see base rates; decision weights and, see decision weights; definitions of; and disciplining intuition; less-is-more pattern and; Linda problem and; overestimation of; plausibility and; and predicting by representativeness; prior, insensitivity to; professional stereotypes and; of rare events, see rare events; representativeness and, see representativeness; similarity and; subjective; as sum-like variable; see also predictions and forecasts probability neglect Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences professional stereotypes professorial candidates prospect theory; in Albert and Ben problem; blind spots of; cumulative; decision weights and probabilities in; fourfold pattern in; frames and; graph of losses and gains in; loss aversion in; reference points in “Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision Under Risk” (Kahneman and Tversky) prototypes psychiatric patients psychological immune system psychology, teaching psychopathic charm psychophysics psychotherapists pundits; see also expert intuition punishments: altruistic; rewards and; self-administered pupil dilation questionnaire and gift experiments questions; substitution of, see substitution Rabin, Matthew radiologists rafters, skilled rail projects randomness and chance; misconceptions of Random Walk Down Wall Street, A (Malkiel) rare events; overestimation of; regret and rational-agent model rationality Rationality and the Reflective Mind (Stanovich) ">rats Reagan, Ronald reciprocal priming recognition recognition-primed decision (RPD) model Redelmeier, Don reference class forecasting regression to the mean; causal interpretations and; correlation and; difficulty in grasping; two-systems view of “Regression towards Mediocrity in Hereditary Stature” (Galton) regret religion remembering self Remote Association Test (RAT) reorganizations in companies repetition representativeness; base rates and; see also base rates; in Linda problem; predicting by; professional stereotypes and; sins of; in Tom W problem research: artifacts in; hypothesis testing in; optimism in resemblance; in predictions resilience responsibility retrievability of instances reversals; unjust rewards; self-administered Rice, Condoleezza risk assessment; aggregation and; broad framing in; decision weights in, see decision weights; denominator neglect and; by experts; and format of risk expression; fourfold pattern in; for health risks; hindsight bias and; laws and regulations governing; loss aversion in; narrow framing in; optimistic bias and; policies for; possibility effect and; precautionary principle and; probability neglect and; public policies and; small risks and; of technologies; terrorism and; see also gambles risk aversion risk seeking “Robust Beauty of Improper Linear Models in Decision Making, The” (Dawes) Rosett, Richard Rosenzweig, Philip Royal Dutch Shell Royal Institution Rozin, Paul < Philip Rumsfeld, Donald Russell Sage Foundation Russia Saddam Hussein sadness safety; health risks and; health violation penalties and; precautionary principle and samples, sampling: accidents of; and bias of confidence over doubt; law of large numbers; law of small numbers; size of; small, exaggerated faith in Samuelson, Paul San Francisco Exploratorium Savage, Jimmie Save More Tomorrow Schelling, Thomas Schkade, David school size Schwarz, Norbert Schweitzer, Maurice Download 4.07 Mb. Do'stlaringiz bilan baham: |
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