Us voter turnout recently soared but lags behind many peer countries


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US voter turnout recently soared but lags behind many peer countries Pew Research Center



04.01.2023, 16:46
US voter turnout recently soared but lags behind many peer countries | Pew Research Center
https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2022/11/01/turnout-in-u-s-has-soared-in-recent-elections-but-by-some-measures-still-trails-that-of-many-ot…
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Politics & Policy
U.S. Elections & Voters
 
Voters & Voting
Voter Participation





NOVEMBER 1, 2022
Turnout in U.S. has soared in recent
elections but by some measures still
trails that of many other countries
BY 
DREW DESILVER
Tellers in Seoul, South Korea, count ballots from the May 2017 presidential election. (Jean Chung/Getty Images)
Voter turnout in the 2020 U.S. general election soared to 
levels not seen in decades
, fueled
by the bitter campaign between Joe Biden and Donald Trump and facilitated by 
pandemic-
related changes
 to state election rules. More than 158.4 million people voted in that
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04.01.2023, 16:46
US voter turnout recently soared but lags behind many peer countries | Pew Research Center
https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2022/11/01/turnout-in-u-s-has-soared-in-recent-elections-but-by-some-measures-still-trails-that-of-many-ot…
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election, according to a Pew Research Center tabulation of official state returns,
amounting to 62.8% of people of voting age, using Census Bureau estimates of the 2020
voting-age population.
The 2020 voting surge followed unusually high 
turnout in the 2018 midterm elections
,
when about 47.5% of the voting-age population – and 51.8% of voting-age citizens – went
to the polls.
This year, some political analysts are 
predicting another heavy turnout
 in this month’s
midterms. According to 
a recent Center survey
, 72% of registered voters say they’re
“extremely” or “very” motivated to vote this year, and 65% say it “really matters” which
party wins control of Congress – a level roughly on par with the run-up to the 2018 vote.
How we did this
One unknown factor, though, is how the many 
state voting-law changes
since 2020 will
affect turnout. While some states have 
rolled back
 early voting, absentee or mail-in voting,
and other rule changes that made voting easier in 2020 – or adopted new rules that make
voting more difficult or inconvenient – other states have 
expanded ballot access
.
Even if predictions of higher-than-usual turnout come to pass, the United States likely will
still trail many of its peers in the developed world in voting-age population turnout. In
fact, when comparing turnout among the voting-age population in the 2020 presidential
election against recent national elections in 49 other countries, the U.S. ranks 31st –
between Colombia (62.5%) and Greece (63.5%).



04.01.2023, 16:46
US voter turnout recently soared but lags behind many peer countries | Pew Research Center
https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2022/11/01/turnout-in-u-s-has-soared-in-recent-elections-but-by-some-measures-still-trails-that-of-many-ot…
3/8


04.01.2023, 16:46
US voter turnout recently soared but lags behind many peer countries | Pew Research Center
https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2022/11/01/turnout-in-u-s-has-soared-in-recent-elections-but-by-some-measures-still-trails-that-of-many-ot…
4/8
The Center examined the most recent nationwide election results for 50 countries, mostly
with highly developed economies and solid democratic traditions. The clear turnout
champion was Uruguay: In the second, decisive round of that nation’s 2019 presidential
election, 94.9% of the estimated voting-age population and 90.1% of registered voters cast
ballots.
Uruguay’s voting-age turnout was followed by Turkey (89% in the 2018 presidential
election) and Peru (83.6% in last year’s presidential election). All five countries with the
highest voting-age turnout have presidential, as opposed to parliamentary, systems of
government, and four of the five have – and enforce – laws making 
voting compulsory
.
In Switzerland, by contrast, just 36.1% of the voting-age population turned out in the 2019
parliamentary elections, the lowest among the 50 countries in our analysis. But that may
have less to do with voter apathy than with demographics: More than a quarter of
Switzerland’s permanent resident population (25.7%) are 
foreign nationals
, and hence
ineligible to vote in Swiss elections
.
When turnout is calculated as a share of registered voters, Swiss turnout rises to 45.1% –
still the second-lowest among the 50 countries we examined. In Luxembourg, by
comparison, changing the metric makes a dramatic difference: The tiny country’s voting-
age turnout was just 48.2% in its 2018 parliamentary election, but 89.7% of registered
voters went to the polls. Why? 
Nearly half
of the population (47.1%) are foreigners.
Those examples illustrate how turnout comparisons between countries are seldom clean
and often tricky. Another complicating factor, besides demographics, is how countries
register their voters.
In many countries, the national government takes the lead in getting people’s names on
the voter rolls – whether by registering them automatically once they become eligible (as
in, for example, 
Sweden
or 
Japan
) or by aggressively encouraging them to do so (as in
the 
United Kingdom
). In such countries, there’s often little difference in turnout rates
among registered voters and the voting-age population as a whole.
In other countries – notably the United States – it’s largely up to individual voters to
register themselves. And the U.S. is unusual in that voter registration is not the job of a
single national agency, but of individual states, counties and cities. That means the rules
can 
vary considerably
 depending on where a would-be voter lives.
It also means there’s no single, authoritative source for how many people are registered to
vote in the U.S. The 
Census Bureau
 estimates that in 2020, 168.3 million people were
registered to vote in 2020 – or at least said they were. Even so, that figure represents only
about two-thirds of the total voting-age population (66.7%) and 72.7% of citizens of voting
age. By comparison, 91.8% of the UK’s voting-age population was registered to vote in that


04.01.2023, 16:46
US voter turnout recently soared but lags behind many peer countries | Pew Research Center
https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2022/11/01/turnout-in-u-s-has-soared-in-recent-elections-but-by-some-measures-still-trails-that-of-many-ot…
5/8
country’s 2019 parliamentary election; the equivalent rates were 89.1% in Canada, 94.1%
in New Zealand and 90.7% in Germany for those countries’ most recent national elections.
In the U.S., there’s a huge gap between voting-age turnout (62.8% in 2020) and
registered-voter turnout (94.1% that same year). In essence, registered voters in the U.S.
are much more of a self-selected group than in other countries – already more likely to
vote because, in most cases, they took the trouble to register themselves.
Some states are trying to reduce that gap. As of this past January, 19 states and the District
of Columbia 
automatically register
people to vote (unless they opt out) when they interact
with the state motor vehicles department or other designated state agencies. Three other
states are on track to fully implement automatic registration in the next few years.
And 
North Dakota
doesn’t require voter registration at all.
Another complicating factor for cross-national turnout comparisons: According to the
International Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance (IDEA), 27 countries (and
one Swiss canton, or member state of the Swiss Confederation) 
have laws making voting
compulsory
, including 12 of the 50 countries examined here. Overall, 14 of those 27
countries actively enforce their laws, with penalties including fines, inability to access
certain public services, or even imprisonment.
How much difference such laws make is unclear. On the one hand, four of the five
countries with the highest turnout rate (whether measured as a share of the total voting-
age population or of registered voters) have and enforce such laws. In the eight countries


04.01.2023, 16:46
US voter turnout recently soared but lags behind many peer countries | Pew Research Center
https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2022/11/01/turnout-in-u-s-has-soared-in-recent-elections-but-by-some-measures-still-trails-that-of-many-ot…
6/8
examined that enforce compulsory-voting laws, voting-age turnout averaged 78.2% in the
most recent election, compared with 57.6% in the four countries that have such laws on
the books but don’t actively enforce them. But in the remaining 38 countries and
Switzerland, which have no national compulsory-voting laws, turnout averaged 65%.
Although there aren’t many examples, there’s some indication that too many elections in
too short a time can dampen voters’ enthusiasm. Consider Bulgaria, which has
had four parliamentary elections in the past 18 months, as the leading parties have
repeatedly tried and failed to form a stable governing coalition. Turnout was 58.3% of
voting-age Bulgarians in the first election (April 2021), but steadily fell to 45.8% in the
most recent one (45.8% earlier this month). And with a 
splintered parliament
 as yet
unable to agree on a new government, weary Bulgarians may yet have to trudge back to the
polls sooner rather than later.
Israelis had to go the polls four times between April 2019 and March 2021 before
lawmakers were able to agree on a governing coalition; turnout among voting-age Israelis
rose from 74.6% in the first election to 77.9% in the third, before falling back to 73.7% in
the March 2021 vote. But 
the coalition that emerged
nearly three months after that
election 
fell apart barely a year later
, and 
Israel is holding yet another election
today, Nov.
1.
Topics
World Elections, U.S. Democracy, U.S. Elections & Voters, Voter Participation, World Elections,
Political & Civic Engagement
Drew DeSilver
  is a senior writer at Pew Research Center.
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SHORT READ | NOV 1, 2022
Turnout in U.S. has soared in recent elections but by some measures still trails that of many
other countries


04.01.2023, 16:46
US voter turnout recently soared but lags behind many peer countries | Pew Research Center
https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2022/11/01/turnout-in-u-s-has-soared-in-recent-elections-but-by-some-measures-still-trails-that-of-many-ot…
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04.01.2023, 16:46
US voter turnout recently soared but lags behind many peer countries | Pew Research Center
https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2022/11/01/turnout-in-u-s-has-soared-in-recent-elections-but-by-some-measures-still-trails-that-of-many-ot…
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