Way of the turtle
Download 6.09 Mb. Pdf ko'rish
|
Way Of The Turtle
Turtle Money Management
Means Staying in the Game The primary goal of trading should be to stay in the game. Time is on your side. A system or method with positive expectation even- tually will make you rich, sometimes beyond your wildest dreams. This can happen only if you can continue trading. For traders, death comes in two forms: a slow painful death that causes traders to stop out of anguish and frustration and a spectacular rapid death we refer to as a blowup. Most new traders overestimate their tolerance for pain, believ- ing that they can live through a 30 percent or 40 percent—or perhaps even a 50 percent or 70 percent—drawdown when they can’t. This can have an extremely adverse effect on their trading because it usually results in their stopping completely or changing methods at the worst possible time: After they have incurred a draw- down and suffered significant losses. The uncertainty of the future is what makes trading so difficult, and people do not like uncertainty. Unfortunately, the reality is that the markets are unpredictable and the best you can hope for is a method that generally works over a relatively long period. For this reason, your trading methods should be designed as much as possi- ble to reduce the uncertainty you can expect to encounter when trading. The markets are already uncertain enough; there is no sense adding to that variability with poor money management practices. 116 • Way of the Turtle Since the Turtle Way is not to predict which markets will trend and which trades will be successful, as Turtles we approached each trade with the same expectation and commitment. To the extent possible, that meant risking the same amount of capital in each market. Implementing money management according to the Tur- tle Way increases the likelihood that you will achieve consistent returns because our approach adjusts for the relative volatility and risk between markets. Oversimplified strategies such as trading one contract per market and methods that do not normalize for volatility can cause trades in certain markets to overshadow those in other markets. So, even a large gain in one market may not compensate for a small loss in another market if the losing market has a much larger contract. Although many traders intuitively know this is true, many still use fairly simplistic mechanisms for deciding how many contracts to trade in any specific market. For example, they may trade one contract of S&P 500 futures per $20,000 in the trading account. They may have used this same formula for the last 10 years, during which time that market’s volatility has fluctuated greatly. These rule-of-thumb approaches can increase the variability of returns unnecessarily. Download 6.09 Mb. Do'stlaringiz bilan baham: |
Ma'lumotlar bazasi mualliflik huquqi bilan himoyalangan ©fayllar.org 2024
ma'muriyatiga murojaat qiling
ma'muriyatiga murojaat qiling