Way of the turtle
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Way Of The Turtle
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- Moving Averages
Breakouts
Earlier in the book I discussed breakouts and showed how they have an edge. A new high price is a strong indicator of the possi- bility that a trend is beginning. The number of days used to calcu- late the highest high or the lowest low for the breakout will determine the type of trend you may be entering. Fewer days will indicate the possibility of a shorter-term trend. A large number of days will be more indicative of the possibility of a longer-term trend. Breakouts work especially well when they are combined with other indicators of overall trend, such as the Donchian Trend system, which uses breakouts for both entry signals and exit signals and moving averages to indicate the overall trend. Moving Averages Moving averages are continuously calculated averages of the price for a specific number of days. The simplest type of moving average, Turtle-Style Building Blocks • 125 called a simple moving average, is the average of the price for a spec- ified number of days. The 10-day moving average of the close is the average of the prior 10 days’ closes, and a 70-day moving average of the high is the average of the previous 70 highs. There are other kinds of moving averages that are slightly more complex, the most common being the exponential moving average. This is an average that is computed by taking a portion of the pre- vious day’s average and mixing it with a portion of the current price. Figure 9-1 presents two moving averages: a 20-day exponential moving average and a 70-day exponential moving average. You can see how the 20-day moving average follows the price more closely and how it crosses the longer-term moving average in mid-June, indicating the start of an up trend. This is a very com- Download 6.09 Mb. Do'stlaringiz bilan baham: |
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