Data Revisions and the Employment Report


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The Economy’s Inexorable Forward March – Despite Emerging Conundrums

  • The Economy’s Inexorable Forward March – Despite Emerging Conundrums



Data Revisions and the Employment Report





























Prediction Vs. Reality













Global Rig Count Peaked in 1981

  • Global Rig Count Peaked in 1981

  • Tanker Transportation Limits

  • Oil Refining Capacity Limits

  • New Oil Investments are a Two Decade Cycle







Alternate Fuels Become Viable at a Sustained Price of $35/barrell, Which Leads to a Reduction in Crude Oil Demand

  • Alternate Fuels Become Viable at a Sustained Price of $35/barrell, Which Leads to a Reduction in Crude Oil Demand

  • Higher Prices Reduce Demand by Itself:

  • New Supplies Rush into the Market in Response to High Prices:

    • Tar Sands in Alberta
    • Oil-Rigs Erected in Our Backyards!


























GM Has Lost 75% of its Market Value Since Spring of 2000

  • GM Has Lost 75% of its Market Value Since Spring of 2000

  • Legacy Cost of $1600 Per Vehicle

  • Union Contracts Make Labor a Fixed Cost

  • Financing Arm Profits Were Financing Production Operations

  • No “Oomph” Factor in its Products











Residential Construction A++



Commercial Construction A++

  • Current $$ Projects:

    • Fifth Runway ($5.4B)
    • Atlantic Station ($2B)
    • Allen Plaza ($300)
    • Aquarium ($200M)
    • 1180 P’tree ($100M)


Georgia Tax Collections A+



Small/Self Business Hiring A+

















Base Realignment and Closure C

  • 6 Georgia Facilities on Pentagon List

  • Largest Recommended Closings in Atlanta

  • Final List from BRAC Committed Released in Sept. 05

  • Net-Net: Local Mero Pain But Georgia May Come Out Ahead















































Balanced Growth is Expected; Foreign Partners Health is a Drag

  • Balanced Growth is Expected; Foreign Partners Health is a Drag

  • High Trade Deficits Will be the Norm in the Coming Years

  • Local and State Job Prospects are Improving But Keep Your Fingers Crossed for Delta and Commercial Builders




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