Classroom Companion: Business
Estimating the Value of Networks
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Introduction to Digital Economics
9.6
Estimating the Value of Networks 9.6.1 Size of Networks This section provides simple mathematical arguments concerning the impact that network effects may have on the value of various types of digital goods or services depending on the way in which users interact. First, observe that in a population or network of n individuals, there are: 5 n singletons. 5 n 2 pairs (assuming n >> 1 and counting all one-way interactions between indi- viduals) 5 2 n groups (also assuming n >> 1) Based on this observation, different laws estimating the value of digital services are presented next. In the following text, V(n) is a measure for the total value of a digital service or network, and n is the total number of users. Value in this context is an abstract concept that can be a measure of, for example, revenues, market capitalization, volume of transactions between users, or time spent using a service. Common representations of value are the number of links between users in the network and the number of groups a user can be member of. These are the basis for the calculation of the various network laws. Note that, in the presented models, V(n) depends only on the number of users, n. As a general note, the value of a company or a service depends also on other tangible and intangible assets such as cash, securities, property, equipment, design value, brand recognition, and organi- zational value. However, these variables are not considered in the following calcula- tions; the focus here is solely on the value that arises because of the number of users. Chapter 9 · Network Effects 137 9 The value each new user adds to the network, or the network effect generated by a single user, is given as: F n V n dV n dn . When a new user joins a network, they link to other users that are already a part of the network. This is illustrated in . Fig. 9.10 . The tilde notation “~” is used to indicate the growth rate of the value of a net- work. For example, V(n)~n indicates that the value of the network grows (at most) as fast as cn, where c is a constant. This is equivalent of the “big O notation,” O(n) = cn, commonly used to assess the growth rate of algorithms in mathematics and computer science. Download 5.51 Mb. Do'stlaringiz bilan baham: |
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