Economic Geography
Geographical economics: accomplishments and deficits
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Economic and social geography
Geographical economics: accomplishments and deficits
The core model Krugman’s Geography and Trade, published in 1991, rang a tocsin in the ears of geographers, with its twofold proclamation that the project of economic geogra- phy was now at last beginning, and that economic geographers (of the variety found in geography departments) had hitherto been more or less sleeping at the wheel. The new geographical economics did not, as we might expect, reach back to regional science, but appeared quite unexpectedly from another quarter: the new growth and trade theories that had been taking shape in economics over the previ- ous decade or so (Meardon 2000; Thisse 1997). The core model is built up around the idea of monopolistic competition as originally propounded by Chamberlin (1933) and subsequently formalized by Dixit and Stiglitz (1977). The model also has some points of resemblance to an older tradition of hetero- dox economics focused on increasing returns and cumulative causation, as represented by Hirschman (1958), Myrdal (1959), and Kaldor (1970). Strictly speaking, Krugman’s model, and the surge of research activities that it has sparked off, are not neoclassical, for it firmly eschews any notion of constant returns to scale and perfect competition. That said, the model retains a strong kinship with mainstream economics by reason of its commitment to methodolog- ical individualism, full information, utility-maximizing individuals and profit- maximizing firms, and an exclusive focus on socially disembedded relationships of exchange (Dymski 1996). 60 Allen J. Scott The model itself is an ingenious if convoluted piece of algebra. Imagine a set of regions 1 with production represented by immobile farmers and mobile manufacturing workers and firms. Manufacturing firms engage in product differ- entiation (monopolistic competition) with increasing returns to scale, or better yet, unexhausted economies of scale. Thus, each firm produces a unique or quasi-unique variety in its given product class. Consumers in all regions (both farmers and manufacturing workers) purchase some portion of every firm’s output. Wages are determined endogenously. Market prices always reflect the transport costs incurred in product shipment. Consumers in regions with many producers will therefore pay less than those less favorably situated. Any individ- ual’s ‘utility’ is a function of both nominal wages and price levels. Mobile manu- facturing workers will migrate from (peripheral) regions with lower utility to (core) regions with higher utility. Nominal wages in any region whose manufac- turing labor force is increasing in this way will tend to fall (though correspon- ding utilities will increase because of the decreasing cost of final goods). More and more manufacturing firms will therefore be attracted to the region, which will in turn induce further in-migration of labor. The net result will be a path- dependent process of spatial development leading to a stable core-periphery pattern. Eventually an equilibrium of production, wages, prices, and demand will be attained, and the final result will exhibit market-driven pecuniary externalities (i.e. overall real price reductions) derived from intra-firm increasing returns under conditions of Chamberlinian competition. In a later formulation of the core model, Krugman and Venables (1995) showed that core-periphery contrasts will tend to be relatively subdued (or even to disappear entirely) in situations where transport costs are uniformly very high or very low, whereas core-periphery contrasts will be maximized where transport costs are contained within some intermediate range of values. Depending on the distribution of immobile workers, transport costs, elastici- ties of demand and substitution, and other basic parameters, the model is capable of generating widely varying locational outcomes. Numerous modifications and extensions of the basic model have been proposed since its first formulation. For example, Krugman and Venables (1995, 1996) and Venables (1996) introduce inter-industrial linkages into the model. Abdel-Rahman and Fujita (1990) have suggested that the production functions of downstream industries are sensitive to the variety of available upstream inputs. In this case, agglomeration and pecuniary externalities are brought about by the productivity effects of input variety. In another variation of the model, Baldwin (1999) has shown how demand-linked circular causality can induce agglomeration, even in the absence of labor mobility. 2 Download 3.2 Kb. Do'stlaringiz bilan baham: |
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