Feasibility study for the introduction of mandatory health insurance in Uzbekistan

2022
2023
2024
2025
Sources and assumptions
392 784
414 388
437 179
461 224
2017, 2018: NSC; 2019–2025 estimates based 
on real GDP growth forecast by the Asian 
Development Bank
5.5%
5.5%
5.5%
5.5%
Asian Development Bank, 2017 and 2018 
measured, 2019 and 2020 estimates, 2020 
projected rate applied for subsequent years
4.1%
4.4%
4.7%
5.0%
As per indicators for 2018 and 2025 in the 
Concept, Annex #1 to the Presidential Decree, 
2019–2024 based on a linear trend
15.4%
15.4%
15.4%
15.4%
2017, 2018: actual data; 2019–2025: 15.4% in 
accordance with the Concept indicators
35 324
35 942
36 571
37 211
2017, 2018: NSC; 2019–2025 projections based 
on 2.25% birth rate and 0.5% mortality rate
4 945
5 032
5 120
5 209
2017-2018: Ministry of Labour and Social 
Protection of Population; 2019–2025 projected 
with the ratio of economically active in the 
formal sector in 2018 to the total population 
(excluding individual entrepreneurs (IEs), small-
scale farmers, farm labourers and others not on 
the payroll)
2 792
2 841
2 890
2 941
2017: NSC; 2018–2025 projected with 
population growth (excluding IEs, small-scale 
farmers, farm labourers and others not on the 
payroll.
19%
18%
17%
16%
Assumption about the share of employed 
people who move to the informal sector or by 
other means avoid contributing
43%
41%
39%
37%
Assumption about the share of employed 
people who move to the informal sector or by 
other means avoid contributing
22 640
23 886
25 199
26 585
2017: NSC, projected to grow with GDP

---