Foreign Exchange Market Organization in Selected Developing and Transition Economies: Evidence from a Survey Jorge Iván Canales Kriljenko imf working paper wp04/4
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WP/04/4 Foreign Exchange Market Organization in Selected Developing and Transition Economies: Evidence from a Survey Jorge Iván Canales-Kriljenko © 2004 International Monetary Fund WP/04/4 IMF Working Paper Monetary and Financial Systems Department Foreign Exchange Market Organization in Selected Developing and Transition Economies: Evidence from a Survey Prepared by Jorge Iván Canales-Kriljenko 1 Authorized for distribution by Shogo Ishii January 2004 Abstract This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF. The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate. The foreign exchange market microstructures in developing and transition economies are characterized by the results from the IMF’s 2001 Survey on Foreign Exchange Market Organization. The survey found that these markets are usually unified onshore spot markets for U.S. dollars, where transactions are concentrated at the bank-customer level. The trading mechanisms are usually dealer or mixed dealer/auction markets; the degree of transparency is often low; settlement systems remain risky; and the scope for price discovery is variable. JEL Classification Numbers: E58, F31, G28 Keywords: Market microstructure, foreign exchange regulation, net open foreign exchange positions Author ’ s E-Mail Address: jcanaleskriljenko@imf.org 1 The author appreciates the very useful comments and suggestions received from Javier Duclaud, Shyamala Gopinath, Hervé Ferhani, Shogo Ishii, Cem Karacadağ, David Mitchem, Peter Quirk, and Mark Zelmer. He is also indebted for the comments received from the offices of several IMF Executive Directors. Natalie Baumer provided valued editorial assistance, and Nadia Malikyar and Joanna Meza-Cuadra efficiently and diligently assisted in managing the survey responses. - 2 - Contents Page I. Introduction ............................................................................................................................4 II. Main Characteristics of Foreign Exchange Markets in Developing Countries.....................5 A. Mainly Spot Market ..................................................................................................5 B. Typically Onshore .....................................................................................................6 C. Predominantly Against U.S. Dollars .........................................................................7 D. Prevalent Market Concentration ...............................................................................7 E. Limited Interbank Trading ........................................................................................8 III. Market Microstructure .........................................................................................................8 A. Usually Unified Market Structure.............................................................................8 B. Trading Mechanisms: Usually Dealer or Mixed Dealer/Auction Markets .............10 C. Variable Scope for Price Discovery........................................................................18 D. Low Market Transparency......................................................................................20 E. Risky Settlement Systems .......................................................................................21 IV. Cluster Analysis: Numerical Grouping of Market Characteristics....................................23 V. Main Findings and Suggestions for Future Research .........................................................25 References................................................................................................................................45 Figures 1. Foreign Exchange Market Structures in Developing Countries, 2001 ................................11 Boxes 1. Interbank Market Size and Order Flow Information .............................................................9 2. Prudential Regulation of Net Open Foreign Exchange Positions........................................13 3. Selected Elements of Auction Design..................................................................................19 4. Cluster Analysis Methodology ............................................................................................23 Appendix Tables 1. Survey Response Rate, by Exchange Rate Regime and Market Access, 2001 .................26 2. Selected Regulations on Forward Foreign Exchange Transactions in Developing and Transition Economies, 2001 ..............................................................................................27 3. Survey Respondents Allowing Offshore Trading of Domestic Currency, by Exchange Rate Regime and Market Access, 2001 .............................................................................28 4. Share of the Main International Currencies in Foreign Exchange Market Turnover of Selected Countries, 2001 ...................................................................................................29 5. Number of Foreign Exchange Intermediaries, 2001..........................................................31 6. Interbank Market Turnover in Selected Developing and Transition Economies, 2000 ....33 7. Net Open Foreign Exchange Position Limits in Developing and Transition Economies, 2001....................................................................................................................................34 - 3 - 8. Electronic Dealing Systems in Developing and Transition Economies, 2001 ..................36 9. Survey Respondents Adopting a Code of Conduct for Foreign Exchange Operations by Exchange Rate Regime and Market Access, 2001 ............................................................37 10. Survey Respondents with Professional Dealers' Associations, by Exchange Rate Regime and Market Access, 2001...................................................................................................38 11. Survey Respondents Requiring Foreign Exchange Licenses, by Exchange Rate Regime and Market Access, 2001...................................................................................................39 12. Electronic Broking Systems in Developing and Transition Economies, 2001..................40 13. Sources of Variables Subject to Cluster Analysis, 2001....................................................41 14. Cluster Analysis Results ....................................................................................................43 - 4 - Download 341.94 Kb. Do'stlaringiz bilan baham: |
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