Short-term Business Cycles and Long-term Economic growth By Tuxtamurodov Navruzbek


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Short-term Business Cycles vs Long-term Economic growth2

Short-term Business Cycles and Long-term Economic growth

By Tuxtamurodov Navruzbek

Presentation plan

  • What is Economic growth?
  • Business Cycle
  • Phases of Business Cycle
  • Short-term business cycles vs long-term economic growth

What is business cycles?

The change in business activities due to fluctuations in economic activities over a period of time is known as a business cycle. Business cycle are also called trade cycle or economic cycle. Business Cycle can also help you make better financial decisions.

The economic activities of a country include total output, income level, prices of products and services, employment, and rate of consumption. All these activities are interrelated; if one activity changes, the rest of them also change.

Phases of Business Cycles

  • 1.Expansion
  • 2.Peak
  • 3.Contraction
  • 4.Trough

Expansion

  • Expansion is the first phase of a business cycle. It is often referred to as the growth phase.
  • In the expansion phase, there is an increase in various economic factors, such as production, employment, output, wages, profits, demand and supply of products, and sales. During this phase, the focus of organisations remains on increasing the demand for their products/services in the market.
  • The expansion phase is characterised by:
  • Increase in demand
  • Growth in income
  • Rise in competition
  • Rise in advertising
  • Creation of new policies
  • Development of brand loyalty

Peak

  • Peak is the next phase after expansion. In this phase, a business reaches at the highest level and the profits are stable. Moreover, organisations make plans for further expansion.
  • In the peak phase, the economic factors, such as production, profit, sales, and employment, are higher but do not increase further.
  • Peak phase is marked by the following features:
  • High demand and supply
  • High revenue and market share
  • Reduced advertising
  • Strong brand image

Contraction

  • An organisation after being at the peak for a period of time begins to decline and enters the phase of contraction. This phase is also known as a recession.
  • An organisation can be in this phase due to various reasons, such as a change in government policies, rise in the level of competition, unfavourable economic conditions, and labour problems. Due to these problems, the organisation begins to experience a loss of market share.
  • The important features of the contraction phase are:
  • Reduced demand
  • Loss in sales and revenue
  • Reduced market share
  • Increased competition

Trough

  • In Trough phase, an organisation suffers heavy losses and falls at the lowest point. At this stage, both profits and demand reduce. The organisation also loses its competitive position.
  • In this phase, the growth rate of an economy becomes negative. In addition, in trough phase, there is a rapid decline in national income and expenditure.
  • The main features of this phase are:
  • Lowest income
  • Loss of customers
  • Adoption of measures for cost-cutting and reduction
  • Heavy fall in market share

Short-term business cycles vs Long-term Economic Growth

  • Short-term business cycles refer to the fluctuations in economic activity that occur over a period of a few months to a few years. These cycles are typically characterized by changes in the level of output, employment, and prices, and are influenced by factors such as consumer spending, business investment, government policies, and global economic conditions.
  • Long-term economic growth is an important factor for the sustainability of a country's economy. It refers to the increase in the production of goods and services over an extended period, which leads to higher living standards and improved quality of life for citizens. Long-term economic growth can be achieved through various measures such as investing in education, infrastructure development, technological advancements, and innovation. It also requires stable macroeconomic policies, efficient resource allocation, and a conducive business environment that promotes entrepreneurship and investment.

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