Statistical, Ecosystems and Competitiveness Analysis of the Media and Content Industries: The Newspaper Publishing Industry
Economic characteristics and developments
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- Statistical, Ecosystems and Competitiveness Analysis of the Media and Content Industries 6
Economic characteristics and developments
This study deals with newspaper publishers and how this sector is transforming as a result of digitization and more general economic and social changes. When assessing the state of the news media, other news providers, such as broadcasters, online-only news providers and citizen journalists are also important players. Online, they are increasingly becoming part of the same news market. In this report, these other news providers are taken into account as the competitors of newspaper publishers, but their market position is not described comprehensively in itself. The focus is on how digitization affects the legacy newspaper publishers, and how this particular industry responds to these changes. Newspaper publishing is characterized by high sunk costs (for investments in printing presses, ink and paper and for labour) and low marginal costs – therefore, market entry barriers are high. Newspaper publishers operate in a two-sided market; selling news to readers and selling readers to advertisers. Many of the large newspaper publishers are part of multinational media companies which produce different media (broadcast, print, digital). Compared to other media markets, the level of concentration in the newspaper market is relatively low, with a few large publishers which are part of multimedia companies and many medium-sized and small publishers, especially at regional and local levels. Nevertheless, the concentration of newspaper publishers is ongoing, especially as newspaper publishers are increasingly having trouble in sustaining their business as stand-alone, individual businesses. Statistical, Ecosystems and Competitiveness Analysis of the Media and Content Industries 6 Between 1995 and 2007, the number of firms increased to 9,006. At the same time, the average number of employees per firm declined steeply - by 15.9%, compared to a decline of 1.4% for the total EU economy. Newspaper publishing also showed a negative growth rate for value added between 1995 and 2007 of -1.1% on average annually for the EU27, compared to an overall growth for the total economy of 2.6%. The six countries with the largest share in the total value added generated in the European newspaper publishing industry are Germany, the UK, France, Spain, Italy and the Netherlands. All these countries, except Spain, witnessed declining or at best stabilizing figures in the share of value added in the newspaper publishing sector between 1995 and 2007. In most EU27 Member States, circulation figures have shown a steady decline since the mid 1990s. 3 Circulation only rose in some East European countries in the late 90s, notably in Bulgaria and Romania. The total average circulation of newspapers per day in Europe declined from 85 million on average in 2005 to 74 million in 2009. The US and Japanese newspaper circulation figures dropped as well. In contrast, circulation in India and China has shown a steep rise, probably as a result of increasing wealth and literacy and less competition from online news sources than in the US and Europe. Advertising expenditures in general grew between 1997 and 2007, as did advertising expenditures for newspapers. But after 2007, both experienced a sharp drop. While the advertising expenditures for most media recovered again in 2009, newspaper advertising expenditures remained low, revealing a more structural development. The share of newspapers in overall advertising expenditures had already been declining since 1999, with expenditures shifting to TV and the internet, again with variation in the patterns between individual countries. The internet is the medium with the largest growth in the share of advertising expenditure. In 2010, it ranked third worldwide with 11.9% of total ad spend, after TV and newspapers, and was predicted to grow to 13.6% (Zenith Optimedia, 2009). Newspaper publishers have to some extent also benefitted from the rise in internet advertising through the revenues from advertising on their online publications. But the losses in print advertising have been far greater than the gains in digital advertising for newspaper publishers, resulting in an overall negative growth in advertising income for newspaper publishers. The decline in advertising revenues for newspapers can to a great extent be attributed to their loss of classified advertising, which shifted to specialized online market places, dating services, job recruitment and real estate websites. Despite declining newspaper readership, the demand for news has never been higher. In the US, while consumption of news from television, radio and newspapers has declined, consumption of news from the internet has grown. In Europe we see a similar pattern, though television has largely maintained its strong position. For the majority of people between 25 and 65, television is still the most used medium for news consumption, but younger people (between 14-24 years) turn to the internet for news (Slot & Munniks de Jongh Luchsinger, 2011a; Huysmans & de Haan, 2010; Eimeren & Vrees, 2011; Schrøder & Kobbernagel, 2010; Schrøder & Larsen, 2010). The legacy broadcaster and newspaper websites are often amongst the most visited news websites, but aggregators such as Google News, Yahoo News, Digg and other online news providers are attracting increasing numbers of news readers. 3 Circulation is the term used to describe unit demand for newspapers from sales on newspaper stands (and other sales points), through subscriptions and – in the case of free newspapers – from handing out units at railway stations, bus stops, universities, etc. |
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