Syllabus T. Y. B. A. Paper : IV advanced economic theory with effect from academic year 2010-11 in idol
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T.Y.B.A. Economics Paper - IV - Advanced Economic Theory (Eng)
Monetary Disturbance
Under flexible exchange rate system, an increase in money stock leads to an increase in income and a depreciation in the exchange rate. The economy is at the initial point E Figure 10.3: Effects of an increase in the Money Stock A monetary expansion shifts the LM schedule to LM'. A point E' the goods and money markets clear, but home interest rate is below the world level. Therefore capital will tend to flow out; the balance of payments goes into deficit, and the exchange rate depreciation. The depreciation means that we become more competitive. Net exports rise, and therefore the IS curve shifts out and to the right. The process continues until we reach point E''. Interest rates are again at the world level, and the depreciation has led to a higher level of income. Monetary policy thus works by increasing net exports. Suppose the nominal quantity of money is increased. Prices are given. So the real money stock (M/P) increases. There is now i Output BP 0 0 Y Interest rate LM IS Y E LM E E available a larger real money stock than before. The LM curve shifts to the right (from LM to LM'). To restore equilibrium interest rate must fall and income level must rise. Now we must find out whether E' represents an equilibrium point. At E' both money market and goods markets are in equilibrium at the initial exchange rate but it is clear that the domestic interest rate (i) has fallen below the world interest rate (i f ). This will generate capital outflows which will bring about exchange rate depreciation. This in turn will make the domestic goods more competitive and the foreign demand for the country‘s goods will increase. So the IS curve will shift to the right. As the arrows indicate, depreciation of the exchange rate continues until the relative price of domestic goods has fallen enough to raise demand and output to the level indicated by E''. At this point the country finds itself at equilibrium both in the goods market and money market at the rate of interest that is compatible with the world rate of interest. The inference is that under flexible exchange rate system with perfect capital mobility a monetary expansion leads to an increase in output and exchange rate depreciation. One way of thinking about this result with P fixed an increase in M increases M P . The demand for real balance is equal to L (i, Y). Since i cannot differ from the world rate of interest, Y has to rise to equate the demand for money to the supply. The exchange depreciation raises net exports and that increase in net exports, in turn sustains the higher level of output and employment. This also implies the proposition that monetary expansion improves the current account through the exchange rate depreciation. The point to note is that under the fixed exchange system the monetary authority cannot control the money supply whereas under a flexible exchange system it can. Download 1.59 Mb. Do'stlaringiz bilan baham: |
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