Syllabus T. Y. B. A. Paper : IV advanced economic theory with effect from academic year 2010-11 in idol
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T.Y.B.A. Economics Paper - IV - Advanced Economic Theory (Eng)
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- 1.2 COURNOTS MODEL
OPEC : OPEC is an example of Oligopoly since few countries control the production of oil, the steel and the automobile industry in United States of America is another example. OPEC acts as a cartel. If OPEC and other oil exporters did not compete, they could ensure much higher prices for prices for everyone. Output quotas of its members produced staggering price increases (from $1.10 to $11.50 per barrel in the early 1970's, and up to $34.00 in the late 1970's: an increase of 3400% in ten years). The relative success of OPEC can be attributed to the following advantages it has enjoyed relative to other cartels: 1. The low price elasticity of oil demand implies that moderate output restrictions increases price in short run - a favourable environment for a cartel. In 1973, OPEC output contributed two-thirds of the total world oil production. 2. In1975 OPEC countries had a substantial market power of 70 %. 3. The effectiveness of OPEC is further enhanced since just four countries (Saudi, Arabia, Kuwait, Iran and Venezuela) regulate 75% of OPEC‘s oil reserves, 4. Exploration, production and building new supplies is time consuming and this mitigates the threat of any challenge to OPEC from increased production by non members. 5. Policies of oil importing nations like US have benefited OPEC e.g. Low prices discouraging production and exploration; environment restrictions. 1.2 COURNOT'S MODEL: The Cournot‘s model, the oldest and the most famous of the oligopoly theories, was introduced by the French and mathematician Augustin A Cournot in 1838. Strictly a duopoly theory, it provides valuable insight into the nature of oligopolistic interdependence. Although crude, it is certainly a path-breaking theory. Cournot begins his analysis with the basic assumption that duopolist A believes that duopolist B will not change his output whatever A may do. Similarly, B believes that A will not change his output whatever he may do. Cournot supposes that A and B are two producers who own identical mineral water wells, located side by-side. Mineral water from these wells can be bottled and sold without cost. Thus, the second assumption is that there is no cost of production and, therefore, we have only to analyze the demand side. Cournot's solution is illustrated in Fig 1.1 DB is the market demand for mineral water. Further suppose that OA = AB is the maximum daily output of each well. Thus, if the total output of the two wells is put in the market, the price will be exactly zero. Suppose producer A enters the market first. He will produce OA output and sell it for the monopoly profit-maximising price OC per bottle. His total profit is OACP, the maximum possible because at output OA, MR = MC = O. The elasticity of market demand at this level of output is equal to unity and the total revenue of the firm A is maximum. When cost is zero, maximum revenue implies maximum profits also. Now let us suppose that B also enters the market. Since A is selling OA output and assuming that he will not change his output, the best B can do is to regard PB as his demand curve and produce AH (½ AB). At this output, MC = MR = O. Total supply now becomes OA + AH = OH and price per unit now falls to ON. Total profit falls to OHQN of which A's share is OAKN and B's is AHQK. |
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