Table 7: Variance Inflation factor Test for Multicollinearity
Coefficient
Uncentered
Centered
Variable
Variance
VIF
VIF
ROA(-1)
0.023835
46.99361
2.320727
LOAN_VOLUME
0.067665
91.49494
2.982914
INT_RATE
0.361068
322.8776
4.828250
DEBT
0.017473
94.46193
3.104760
C
0.018559
524.9397
NA
Source: EViews 9 Computation of Research Data.
The above table shows that, no severe multicollinearity exists among the
variables and VIF centered is less than 5. In this scenario we need to adopt
the principle of leave the model alone. In as much as the model is safe for
multicollinearity the test for cointegration can now be conducted.
5.5 ARDL Cointegration Test Results
The result deduced by the unit root test shows that, the variables are stationary
at first difference, this gives way for the test for cointegration to be conducted
in order to verify the existence of a long-run equilibrium relationship between
the variables. The Johansen Cointegration test was used to test, if there is one
linear combination of the variables at least. The VAR estimation was used to
determine the Lag length that to be used. The reports of the VAR lag order
selection criteria indicate that, the optimal lag length, based on the AIC and SC
is 2 lags.
The Johansen test results which was performed to verify if a long-run
relationship does exist between the selected variables is shown on the below
table. A cointegration rank of one is shows by the Trace statistics, whereas the
Max-Eigen statistics shows two cointegrating equations at a 5% significance
level indicating that, the variables are cointegrated and there is an evidence of
a long-run relationship.
67
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