This was Nixon's price freeze?
Yes. As I recall, the plywood price was theoretically frozen at $110 per 1,000 square feet. Plywood was one of
the markets I analyzed for the firm. The price had edged up close to $110, and I put out a bearish newsletter saying
even though supplies were tight, since prices couldn't go beyond $110, there was nothing to lose by going short at
$110.
How did the government keep prices at the set limits? What prevented supply and demand from
dictating a higher price?
It was against the law for prices to go higher.
You mean producers couldn't charge more for it?
Right. What was happening though was that the price was being kept artificially low, and there is an economic
principle that an artificially low price will create a shortage. So shortages developed in plywood, but supposedly the
futures market was also under this guideline. However, no one was sure; it was sort of a gray area. One day, while I
was looking at the quote board, the price hit $110. Then it hit $110.10; then $110.20. In other words, the futures
price was trading 20 cents over the legal ceiling. So I started calling around to see what was going to happen, but
nobody seemed to know.
Was plywood the only market exceeding its price freeze level?
Yes. Anyway, nothing happened. I think the market closed somewhere over $110 that day. The next day it
opened at about $110.80.1 used the following reasoning: If they let it trade over $110 today, they might let it trade
anywhere. So I bought one contract. Well, ultimately, plywood went to $200. After I bought that first contract, and
prices rose, it was just a matter of pyramiding and riding the position.
Was that your first really big trade after you had been wiped out in the corn market?
Yes.
Did the cash plywood market stay at $110?
The futures market functioned as a supply of last resort to users who couldn't get supplies elsewhere.
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