The market wizards conversations with
How long did that environment last?
Download 5.03 Kb. Pdf ko'rish
|
41775536-Market-Wizards (1)
How long did that environment last?
Until the consolidated tape in 1975. Now there is a lot more competition; the people on the trading desks are much brighter. Another change is that retail buyers and sellers have diminished greatly in importance. The market has become institutionalized. Individuals buy stock through mutual funds. Brokerage firms don't sell customers stocks so much as they sell those horrible mutual funds and other awful things they call "financial products." Perhaps the most important change is that the world has become much more short term oriented. All sorts of people who used to be investors are now traders. The institutions now define themselves as enterprises whose goal is to achieve the highest rate of return, when they used to define themselves as long-term investors. People's confidence in their ability to predict secular trends has greatly diminished. In 1967, it would be typical to see a report by a brokerage firm estimating McDonalds' per share earnings up to the year 2000. Those people thought they could estimate long-term earnings because companies were growing in a stable and predictable way. They believed in America and steady growth. Today, stocks don't lend themselves to the same type of secular analysis. The implication of secular growth trend analysis not having worked in the 1970s and 1980s relates to the question of trading. In the 1950s and 1960s, the heroes were the long-term investors; today, the heroes are the wise guys. There are people like Goldsmith, who lauds the virtues of capitalism. He talks about "what I did for Goodyear." What did he do for Goodyear? He was in there for seven months, made eight zillion dollars for himself, and left the management after taking greenmail. He talks about what he did for Goodyear, because he is uncomfortable and has to somehow associate himself with the capitalist process. He and these other people have to bitch and moan about management, but they don't know their ass from their elbow about running companies. With the breakdown of certain laws, people are allowed to do things they weren't allowed to do before. Download 5.03 Kb. Do'stlaringiz bilan baham: |
Ma'lumotlar bazasi mualliflik huquqi bilan himoyalangan ©fayllar.org 2024
ma'muriyatiga murojaat qiling
ma'muriyatiga murojaat qiling