Since you use an extremely rigorous selection process, do you have a high percentage of winners
in your stock picks?
No, only about 50/50, because I cut the losers very quickly. The maximum loss I allow is 7 percent, and
usually I am out of a losing stock a lot quicker. I make my money on the few stocks a year that double and triple in
price. The profits in those trades easily make up for all the small losers.
How long do you typically hold a stock?
I usually hold my big winners for about six to twelve months, stocks that aren't that strong about three
months, and my losers less than two weeks.
Do you pick an objective on the stocks you buy?
No. I usually wait until the stock runs up, builds another base, and then breaks down. That is when I
liquidate.
Do you think people should only use market orders?
In a dull market that is just trading back and forth, you could put in a limit order. But if you really think the
stock is going to make a big move—and that should be the only reason you are buying the stock to begin with—then
there is no reason to haggle over an eighth of a point. Just buy the stock. The same thing applies to the downside; if
you think the stock is going to drop, just sell it.
I learned the lesson about market orders in 1982 when I was trying to buy Textone, which was trading at
$15, for $14%. The next day it jumped l
l
h points, and I couldn't bring myself to buy the stock at $16k when I could
have bought it at $15 a day earlier. That stock eventually went to $45.
One element of your trading style is buying a stock when it makes a new high. Wouldn't the
fundamental screening conditions you use have been in place well before that point?
In some cases, they might have been. But I am trying to buy a stock when you have the most chance of
making money. When a stock is coming off the low end of a base back to the high end, there will be a lot of people
who bought it near the highs and sat with a loss for months. Some of those people are going to be happy to get out
at even, and that creates a lot of overhead resistance.
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