Учредители и издатели журнала Федеральное государственное автономное
particularly in the context of the current
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10 е Scopus Tax reform
particularly in the context of the current Journal of Tax Reform. 2022;8(3):251–269 254 ISSN 2412-8872 pandemic crisis, to measuring the stress of the financial system, and discusses the results of their use. The Data and Re- search Methodology section expands on the sources of information, describes in detail the author’s methodology for as- sessing and decomposing the tax system stress index by tax revenues. The Results section reports the calculated and decom- posed tax system stress indices by tax revenues in the Russian Federation for the period from 2015 to March 2022, and explains their dynamics in the pre-pan- demic, pandemic and recovery periods. In the Discussion section, the research findings are analysed and compared with the results previously obtained by vari- ous authors, including us, and the limi- tations of the study and the prospects for its further development are revealed. The Conclusion section summarizes the re- sults and main implications of the study. 2. Literature review An analysis of the resilience of eco- nomic systems to external and internal shocks is of particular relevance during periods of crisis. Thus, such studies be- came increasingly widespread after the financial crisis of 2008−2010 (e.g. Martin et al. [7] and Xiao et al. [8]). The economic crisis caused by the spread of coronavirus infection in 2020−2021 was no exception. Researchers studying the stress resistance of economic systems are interested in gen- eral and specific manifestations of crisis phenomena in the economy under the in- fluence of shocks of various nature (finan- cial, epidemiological, sanctions, etc.). Goswami et al. [9] and Devereux et al. [10] study the factors affecting the degree of response of various economies to the crisis and the speed of their subsequent recovery. Pietro et al. [11] examine the resi- lience of the European Union countries and regions (the so-called NUTS) to three recessionary shocks, each of which acti- vated different economic adjustments and mechanisms. Using a spatial general equilibrium model, this paper measures the vulnerability, resistance and resi- lience of European economies and identi- fies key features that affect their ability to withstand and recover from unexpected external shocks. As a result, it was estab- lished that the reactions of different eco- nomies vary depending on the nature of the external shock, their pre-crisis cha- racteristics, as well as the mobility of pro- duction factors. Brada et al. [12] assess economic re- silience as the system ability to absorb and recover from economic shocks. The authors examine 199 regions of Central and Eastern Europe after the 2008 glo- bal financial crisis. They find evidence of strong positive spatial effects leading to the formation of high-efficiency and low-efficiency clusters. Analysing the experience of regional recovery after the 2008 financial crisis, the authors modelled the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the regions’ ability to return to pre-crisis employment levels. Lagravinese et al. [13] study the im- pact of business cycles on the so-called buoyancy of tax revenues and how to manage it. Based on a panel sample of 146 coun- tries for 1981–2016, Gnangnon [14] shows that the instability of tax revenues nega- tively affects the share of non-resource taxes, but this influence decreases as GDP per capita grows. The works devoted to the resilience of financial systems during the 2020−2021 pandemic are of particular interest. They examine the impact of the coronavirus crisis on macroeconomic, financial per- formance and tax revenues in various countries: Indonesia (Zamzam et al. [15]); Nigeria (Adesola & Owoniya [16]), Czech Republic (Kozieł [17]), Azerbaijan (Suley- manzade [18]). Shipalana & O’Riordan [19] explore the impact of the 2020 pandemic on finan- cial stability in Africa. Experts estimate that the pandemic could have caused Africa to lose up to 20−30% of its fiscal revenues, which would have resulted in a number of African countries being unable to service their debt or even de- faulting, which, combined with the de- cline in local currencies, could have caused a deep depression on the continent. |
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