Way of the turtle
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Way Of The Turtle
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75 • six FALLING OFF THE EDGE Edges are found in the places that are the battlegrounds between buyers and sellers. Your task as a trader is to find those places and wait to see who wins and who loses. T rading edges exist because of divergences in market percep- tions and realities that result from cognitive biases. They exist because economists are wrong in their belief that market players are rational. Market players are not rational. Chapter 2 discussed how cognitive biases provide trading opportunities in a theoretical sense. This chapter will discuss that notion in further detail by using actual price data. Support and Resistance The concept of support and resistance is fundamental to almost all types of trading. Support and resistance is simply the tendency for prices not to exceed previous price levels. One can understand this concept most easily by examining its presence on a price chart (see Figure 6-1). Copyright © 2007 by Curtis M. Faith. Click here for terms of use. Support and resistance results from market behavior, which in turn is caused by three cognitive biases: anchoring, recency bias, and the disposition effect. Anchoring is the tendency to base price perceptions on readily available information. A recent new high or low becomes a new anchor against which each subsequent price is measured and com- pared. New prices are considered to be higher or lower in com- parison to those anchor prices. The reason recent highs and lows are easy anchors is that they are simple to see on the charts and therefore are psychologically significant to market participants. In Figure 6-1, under the label “Support 1,” a low price of about $1.13 becomes a new anchor shortly after that price is made and certainly after the price climbs to $1.20 over the next several days. It is the low point on the chart that will stand out for short-term day Download 6.09 Mb. Do'stlaringiz bilan baham: |
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