Way of the turtle
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Way Of The Turtle
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- Death of the Pits
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• Way of the Turtle Using the example described above, a floor trader who is not quick enough might rapidly find himself with a 10-, 20-, or even 50-tick loss per contract. If he holds 50 contracts with a 50-tick loss, this represents a loss of $15,625 (50 50 $6.25), more money than he may have made that entire week or month. At some point the psychological pain of watching so much money disappear may be so great that the floor scalper panics and buys at whatever price the market offers. In a fast market this may take only 1 or 2 min- utes; in a slower market it may take 10 or 15. One can see that the experienced trader not only buys out of her short position early, she buys a few more contracts to profit further as the price moves up. When a less experienced trader panics and starts buying, an opportunity is presented to an experienced trader to again sell and exit his recently acquired long position to make another profit. Death of the Pits When we traded as Turtles, futures contracts were bought and sold exclusively in trading pits at the commodity exchanges, where men fought mano a mano to execute their trades with other traders using hand signals and shouting. To outsiders it looked like insanity at times. The pits are dying. Electronic exchanges are replacing them in almost every market. Among other benefits, the costs for electronic execution are lower, the executions are quicker, and traders can determine if they are filled in milliseconds instead of minutes. These advantages are killing the pit traded futures. In every market where Risk Junkies • 9 electronic trading and pit trading coexist, the volume has moved to the electronic markets. In fact, it is likely that before this book goes out of print there will no longer be U.S. exchanges where futures contracts are traded in pits. Those of us who have been involved in trading since before the advent of electronic exchanges are saddened by the death of the pits. In Chicago, there are many examples of traders like Richard Dennis who came from a working-class background and made their millions trading in the pits. For those who are skillful, the pits are better places to trade. In the pits you can see the psychology of the market in the faces of the other traders. Numbers on a screen just don’t con- vey the same kind of information. Many traders had their start run- ning orders into the pit from the banks of phones that surrounded them.These jobs are disappearing. Nevertheless, while we are saddened and nostalgic about the pits, the new electronic markets offer some new opportunities. Execution costs are lower, and this creates opportunities to trade using strate- gies that trade more frequently. Some of the electronic markets have such large volume that it is possible to buy and sell millions of dollars worth of futures contracts without even beginning to move the price. Keep in mind that when I refer to traders in this book as execut- ing trades in pits, this may not be the way trading is currently trans- acted in many markets. The players and actions, however, are still the same. The pain of a losing trade is still present whether you trade electronically or you call a broker on the phone and the trade is transacted in the pits. The hedgers, scalpers, and speculators are still there, hiding behind the screen—waiting to eat you alive if you let them. Download 6.09 Mb. Do'stlaringiz bilan baham: |
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