A prep course for the month-long World Cup soccer tournament, a worldwide pheno
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omic and social problems , more severe than those of most cities in Russia . As fat subsidies from Moscow dry up , huge defense plants that used to churn out na vigational systems and warplanes are switching over to TVs and automatic bowling pin setters for Asian markets but not fast enough to avoid mounting layoffs and unpaid workers . Alongside the newly rich , a new class of unemployed and impov erished is rapidly taking shape . City officials say a third of Vladivostok 's 7 00,000 civilians are living below the poverty line . Prices , the highest in Rus sia , soared last year as annual inflation here reached 1,300 percent , nearly h alf again the national average . The emerging extremes of wealth and poverty are fueling a wave of crime and corruption , including a murder rate that has jumpe d by five times in five years and now rivals Washington 's . The crime rate is t hree times the national average , and the tough guys are having a field day . Se rgei Bachurin , 31 , an entrepreneur whose business leverage includes a 12-gauge `` Vinchester '' and 20 stocky enforcers , controls the local Chinese market , where merchants from across the border peddle cheap track suits , plastic shoes and video games . `` The Russian mafia is a good mafia , '' he said after displa ying his shotgun for a visitor in the middle of the crowded entryway to his mark et . Tall and lean , with a close-cropped blond beard , Bachurin is a former gol d miner who now strolls around in a double-breasted red blazer , chalk-striped f lannel pants and long black leather coat when he isn't in jail trying to beat on e rap or another . `` My bodyguards , '' he said , `` can kill anyone . They can do this perfectly , because I trained them myself . '' In the face of this expl osion of disorder , the authorities are swamped . The Vladivostok police force , which has just two computers , is hiring hundreds of new cops . City prosecutor s , lacking any official cars , ride trolleys to their investigations . `` In th e United States , you passed this racketeering stage long ago , '' said Chief Pr osecutor Vyacheslav Yaroshenko . `` We 're just entering it . '' Alexander Kuchi nski , a young scientist who was a precinct chief for a former mayor , said the new city authorities are thoroughly corrupt , bent on `` attracting foreigners o nly for their personal profit . '' But in the long run , he said , Vladivostok w ill make it . `` Sooner or later the new , business-minded people will win , '' he said . `` The old guard is trying to keep control , but I think and hope that sooner or later we 'll get rid of them . New forces are growing fast here . '' JERICHO , West Bank In an old public works building , Palestinian men sit in th e stifling heat dressed in revolvers , white shirts and ties the latter a sure s ign they are not locals . They give each visitor a hard , probing look . This is the new West Bank headquarters of the Palestinian secret police , whose quick a ppearance on the scene rings for some an ominous note among the celebrations ove r Israeli withdrawal . `` They are aiming at people like me . There is no questi on , '' said Riyad Malki , an engineering professor identified with a group oppo sed to Yasser Arafat 's Fatah faction of the Palestine Liberation Organization . The dictatorships that abound in the Middle East often use secret police `` muh abarat '' in Arabic to do the dirty work of eliminating opposition to their regi mes : eavesdropping , wiretapping , midnight arrests , torture , and sometimes p olitical assassination . Palestinians here have not been reassured by the select ion of Jabril Rajoub to head the secret police in Jericho . Few wish to speak fo r attribution of the man who spent 17 years in Israeli prisons and six years in exile , where he is reputed to have helped direct attacks against both Israelis and Palestinian foes . `` Everybody 's afraid . The guy 's a tough cookie , '' s aid one well-connected Palestinian . Said another : `` He 's the one in charge o f ` dirty deeds . ' Watch out for him . '' Rajoub , 41 , paints a different pict ure of himself and his force . `` I wouldn't call it muhabarat , '' he said . `` In the Third World , that means terror , interrogation , imprisonment and so on . Our job is to protect the inhabitants and ensure the rights of opposition to express their views in a decent way . '' His force , he said , officially is cal led `` Preventive Security . '' He makes reference to operating under `` democra tic principles , '' trying to assure Palestinians who fear a Fatah autocracy . H is men will be armed , and work in plainclothes . He declines to say how many th ere will be . It will work throughout the West Bank . He refuses to say how they will operate against the opposition if , for example , they will disarm other P alestinian groups . `` I don't think we can solve these problems through the med ia , '' he replies . `` How we deal with our people is our responsibility and ou r job . '' The agreement with Israel to begin Palestinian autonomy in Jericho an d the Gaza Strip permits formation of Palestinian units for `` public security ' ' and `` intelligence . '' Those units are supposed to be within the Palestinian Police force . Rajoub said , however , the secret police report directly to PLO Chairman Arafat . Later , he acknowledged he also will report to Mesbah Hanafi Sakr , a mysterious PLO `` general '' said to have hidden from the Israelis for 27 years in the Gaza Strip , and whom few people say they have ever met . ( Begi n optional trim ) Rajoub is curt to questions about his activities during six ye ars of exile . `` Why do you ask such questions , '' he replied , irritated . Ra joub returned to the West Bank last week to a hero 's welcome . He was imprisone d for life at age 17 for a grenade attack against an Israeli army truck . He bec ame a leader inside prison , where he learned Hebrew and English and eventually became a representative of the prisoners to the authorities . He was released in a large prisoner-swap deal in 1985 , and spent three years working with Faisal al-Husseini in East Jerusalem . In 1988 , he was deported by Israel , and he sai d he spent the rest of the time in Tunis . Israelis believe his job while in Tun is was to organize Fatah operations in the West Bank and within Israel . Accordi ng to Yigal Carmon , former advisor to the Israeli government on terrorism , Raj oub was one of those involved in a plot to recruit an Israeli to murder of top o fficials of the Israeli government , including Yitzhak Rabin , then defense mini ster and now prime minister . The murder plan was foiled before an attempt was m ade . `` I guess Mr. Rabin doesn't take it personally , '' he said of the govern ment 's approval of Rajoub 's return . ( End optional trim ) Israel agreed to th e creation of a security force in hopes it will be like the Israeli secret servi ce the Shabak and act against extreme opposition groups to stop attacks on Israe lis . `` This is not our duty , '' declares Rajoub . `` If Israel asks for full and total security , we can assure that only if we have full and total authority over our land , which we do not . '' If they caught a Palestinian who attacked Israelis , they would not turn the suspect over to Israeli authorities , he said : `` It 's not mentioned in the agreement . '' `` Our relationship with the Isr aelis is not one of friends , '' he said last week , in explaining why there wou ld be `` no coordination '' between his forces and those of Israel . Other Pales tinians believe Rajoub 's main purpose will be to assert control over opposition for the benefit of Fatah , not Israel . `` He will do those things that are not known , so that nobody will be accountable , '' said Ghassan Khatib , who is id entified with the opposition Palestinian People 's Party . Malki from another gr oup at odds with Arafat , the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine said it is telling that Arafat installed a security apparatus even before a civil go vernment is formed . `` I fear a lot about the future , '' he said . The secret police `` will be observing the people , watching everybody . They will stop any protest , any opposition , '' he said . `` I have been threatened three times i n the last two years that my place will be in the prison '' when Fatah authoriti es take control , he said . `` In the last 10 or 20 years , I didn't really feel my life was threatened , '' he said . `` Now the possibility is becoming real . These are people who don't really mind eliminating their own . '' WASHINGTON Bill Clinton , who has staked his presidency on achieving bold domes tic policy goals , suddenly appears to be jeopardizing his political future with his handling of U.S. foreign policy . The evidence is accumulating : Some of Cl inton 's poll ratings are wilting ; Republicans including former President Bush and GOP presidential prospects for 1996 are pounding him and discontent is sprea ding on Capitol Hill . And with foreign policy dilemmas plaguing him around the globe , stretching from Haiti to Bosnia to North Korea and China , the future of fers the president little hope for relief . Amid preparations for Clinton 's tri p to Europe next week to commemorate the 50th anniversary of D-Day and to bolste r strained relationships with Western allies , some advisers wonder whether the president might have underestimated the importance of foreign policy while he wa s lavishing attention on domestic issues . `` I can envision a Republican candid ate in 1996 , someone like ( former Defense Secretary ) Dick Cheney or ( former Secretary of State ) Jim Baker , who campaigns on the slogan : ` It 's foreign p olicy , stupid , ' ' ' fretted a veteran of Clinton 's 1992 campaign . Indeed , the Republicans are already on the attack . `` Our leadership around the world i s being eroded by a stop-and-start policy of hesitancy , '' Bush said at a GOP f und-raiser in Milwaukee last week , according to a report in the Milwaukee Senti nel newspaper . Senate Minority Leader Bob Dole , R-Kan. , a potential president ial contender in 1996 , mocked Clinton 's recent 90-minute televised news confer ence on international affairs . `` You shouldn't have to have a television show with someone scripting the answers to demonstrate what you know about leadership , '' Dole said at a party rally in Atlanta . The basic grievance against Clinto n is this : In dealing with an array of problems abroad , such as the bloody con flict in Bosnia , the intransigence of the military regime in Haiti , the nuclea r threat from North Korea and human rights violations in China , he seems to hav e talked loudly but carried a small stick . `` I continue to look for new soluti ons , '' the president has said in his own defense . His supporters blame his di fficulties on the turbulent state of post-Cold War diplomacy , which has forced him to sail on uncharted seas . While some Americans are urging him to steer cle ar of foreign crises , others are demanding stronger action . `` You 're damned if you do and damned if you don't , '' argued Democratic National Chairman David Wilhelm . `` These are tough and difficult situations . '' `` The president is getting a bad rap , '' said House Speaker Thomas S. Foley , D-Wash. , who conten ds that Clinton does not get the credit that he deserves for winning congression al approval of the North American Free Trade Agreement . Likening present condit ions to the chaotic years following World War II , Foley noted that it took Pres ident Harry S. Truman nearly two years to develop policies for dealing with the Soviet Union . But some analysts warn that Clinton 's penchant for wheeling and dealing contrasted with Truman 's characteristic bluntness and decisiveness can backfire in foreign policy . `` In foreign policy , it 's important to present a firm image , '' said Princeton University presidential scholar Fred Greenstein . `` With Clinton , it 's like globs of mercury ; he 's all over the place . '' Clinton 's task is not an easy one . `` In the post-Cold War era , no one knows what foreign policy ought to be , '' conceded Leslie Gelb , a former State Depar tment official in the Jimmy Carter administration . Gelb now serves as president of the Council on Foreign Relations . Yet Clinton 's critics argue that the pre sident is making the job more difficult with his inconsistencies . `` You can't go Chinese menu week by week on foreign policy and expect the American people to support you , '' said Hodding Carter III , who was spokesman for the State Depa rtment during the Carter administration . Clinton 's policies are drawing fire a cross the political spectrum . From the right , House Minority Whip Newt Gingric h , R-Ga. , scoffs at Clinton 's initiative for dealing with the potential flood of refugees from Haiti by establishing seaborne processing centers . `` There i s a level of sloppiness about this administration that is kind of scary , '' the conservative Georgia congressman said . From the left , Maurice Paprin , head o f the liberal-oriented Fund for New Priorities , left a recent White House brief ing convinced that U.S. policy toward Haiti is `` as unclear and muddy as it was before . '' The president seemingly raised the political stakes for his Haiti p olicies recently when he offered a detailed justification for U.S. invasion of t hat strife-torn island nation if economic sanctions do not force the military go vernment from office . But if the Haitian regime stands firm despite the sanctio ns , Clinton will have to risk launching a military assault with unforeseeable c onsequences or face intensified complaints that he lacks the will to manage fore ign policy . Even longtime allies of the president , such as Rep. Dave McCurdy , D-Okla. , who chairs the Democratic Leadership Council , the centrist group tha t helped propel Clinton to the presidency , have joined the disapproving chorus . `` We have conducted ourselves abroad with an unsteady hand , '' McCurdy said in an address to the Commonwealth Club of San Francisco last month . `` In Bosni a , blustery rhetoric faded into reluctant diplomacy. .. . On North Korea , we h ave been anything but decisive . '' Republicans warn that shifting positions on current problems can create even more serious troubles in the future . `` To the extent that you use up your credibility , then when you get into a real crisis you 'll pay the price , '' former Defense Secretary Cheney told members of the N ational Retail Federation earlier this month . Clinton is already paying a polit ical price for the controversies surrounding his foreign policy , according to r ecent polls . Only 40 percent of those interviewed in a Washington Post-ABC News survey released last week approved of his handling of foreign policy , against 53 percent who disapproved . The negative showing on foreign policy apparently c ontributed to lowering the president 's overall approval rating to 51 percent , from 57 percent in March . ( Optional add end ) `` Foreign policy is not just ab out foreign affairs , it 's also an opportunity for the president to display lea dership capabilities in the one arena in which he can do so with fewest challeng es , '' said Everett Carll Ladd , director of the Roper Center for Public Opinio n Research . `` We have loads of evidence that people form impressions of presid ents by what they see of them on the world stage . '' Underscoring Clinton 's di fficulties abroad , and conceivably complicating them , are increasing signs of congressional restlessness with his leadership on foreign affairs . The most str iking example is a Senate vote two weeks ago for an amendment ordering the presi dent to unilaterally lift the U.N.-imposed embargo on selling arms to Bosnia , e ven if the United States ' NATO allies do not agree . Sen. Mitch McConnell of Ke ntucky , the top Republican on the Senate Appropriations subcommittee that overs ees spending on foreign aid , predicted more congressional involvement in foreig n affairs on such issues as curbing development of North Korea 's nuclear capabi lity and granting `` most favored nation '' trade status to China . `` All of a sudden , '' McConnell said , `` an issue the president has no interest in , and he thinks the American people aren't interested in , is becoming a major politic al liability . '' The following editorial appeared in Thursday 's Washington Post : Congress goes home still trying to figure out how , if at all , to restructure the health-car e system . With regard to at least one aspect of the problem cost containment ou r own sense is that it has no choice . It has to act somehow ; the government ca n't afford the system as it stands . No payer can . Some members of Congress hav e said in the past that the way to counter health-care costs the federal share , at any rate would be to impose an entitlement cap . The cap would force the nec essary cuts , if not in health care , then in other entitlement programs to make room for health care . We 've been among those opposed to a cap on grounds that it would be a cop-out another broad promise to achieve great savings by cutting specific programs in the future instead of cutting them up front . But if Congr ess fails to provide for such cuts up front when given the chance if it fails to enact a credible health-care-cost-containment mechanism well , what 's left but an entitlement cap ? The cap becomes harder to resist . There 's already a cap on the third of the budget subject to the appropriations process . It 's a crude device , but it 's working pretty well , forcing the administration and Congres s to make choices they 'd otherwise finesse . Cappers say there needs to be a si milar ceiling on the entitlements side of the budget , or else the deficit , so painfully reduced last year , will soon start to rise again . You can make a lot of arguments against such a cap . Entitlements are a false category , an arbitr ary lumping together of unlike programs ( though the same can of course be said of appropriations ) . The word is a euphemism mainly for aid to the elderly in t he form of Social Security and the payment of health-care costs through Medicare and Medicaid . The health-care costs are the ones that are driving the budget . They are the ones that should be contained , and other programs , including the rest of the federal-support system for the poor , should not be put at risk bec ause of them . Most cap proposals also leave out tax entitlements the mortgage-i nterest deduction , for example . Those should be put at risk as well . A cap is also likely to produce not so much genuine savings as shifts . Particularly in health care , costs now borne by the federal government will simply be shifted t o the states or private payers . That reduces the deficit more than it helps the society ; there 's a better way . But if Congress willn't do the right thing , which is to face up to health-care costs directly , then maybe it ought to put a gun to its own head in the form of an entitlement cap . The health-care problem is also a budget problem . Unless you solve the problem of health-care costs , you can't provide even the health care the country needs . The members need to t hink about that amid the swirl of pressures back home . NEW YORK `` Weekend in the Country '' might be enough for Stephen Sondheim 's m ismatched lovers in `` A Little Night Music , '' but Ivan Turgenev sent his off on `` A Month in the Country . '' Before too many months pass , New Yorkers can expect to get a new look at the Russian classic in a production that is London ' s latest hit . Starring Helen Mirren and John Hurt , it ends a brief sold-out ru n this weekend , but producer Duncan C. Weldon plans to bring it to Broadway nex t February or March . Mirren , Hurt and John Standing would repeat their roles , along with director Bill Bryden and designer Hayden Griffin . London critics ga ve Mirren 's Turgenev portrayal high praise . `` She has taken one of the great , yet most elusive of roles and made it entirely her own , '' the Daily Mail sai d . Mirren 's schedule a film this summer and more of TV 's `` Prime Suspect '' in the fall dictate the delay till next year . Weldon said there may be a pre-Br oadway run in Stamford , Conn. , where his possible partner , Alexander H. Cohen , has a theater , and a post-Broadway date in Los Angeles . SERIOUS SIMON : Acc epting a lifetime achievement award at New Dramatists ' annual luncheon last wee k , Neil Simon was alternately playful and philosophical . As he looked back ove r a career that produced 28 plays , he said , `` I do realize it 's not going to go on forever . ( pause ) This speech may . '' No , he had said at the outset , he would be brief unless he got a lot of laughs . He got quite a few from the a udience of about 500 , but throughout his talk there was a recurring seriousness , vague hints of a career winding down . He referred indirectly to the fact tha t his latest Broadway play , `` Laughter on the 23rd Floor , '' failed to attrac t a single Tony nomination : `` As far as I 'm concerned , all of them ( in the cast ) have gotten Tony nominations from me . Unfortunately , you don't get to g o to the party . '' And he worried that playwrights are now an endangered specie s . `` I came to the theater at the right time . I had a place to learn and a pl ace to fail . There 's no place to fail now and you need that . ( pause ) I 'd b etter stop and tell a joke . '' And he did , but it can't be repeated here that word , you know . Introducing Simon , his longtime producer , Emanuel Azenberg , recalled that during rehearsals for `` Broadway Bound , '' a scene wasn't worki ng . Simon noticed his concern and sent him a note , now framed on his office wa ll : `` Don't worry . I know how to fix it . '' Later , they were workshopping a Simon musical using Gershwin songs . It was terrible , Azenberg said . 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