Contingent Liabilities: Issues and Practice; Aliona Cebotari; imf working Paper 08/245; October 1, 2008
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Contingent Liabilities Issues and Practice
a strong regulatory framework. This applies equally to the implicit liabilities stemming
from subnational governments, state-owned enterprises or the banking system. The two basic pillars of the framework for managing risk from these sources include: (i) ex-ante regulation, which involves ex-ante controls over the behavior of the institutions (such as limits on borrowing, deficits, risk-taking) and monitoring of their fiscal/financial positions by a central institution; and (ii) ex-post insolvency mechanisms, which would help enforce hard budget constraints and would create clear expectations about ex-post risk sharing, thereby mitigating moral hazard associated with the expectation of a possible bailout of these institutions. The specific tools used to mitigate risks would of course depend on the source and the nature of the risk. For example, in the case of subnational governments, as discussed in Liu (2007), 38 Some countries provide additional appropriations automatically (New Zealand, the United States), although the experience in the United States has shown that the additional appropriations could be large (Kraan, 2004). 39 See Reserve Bank of Australia, Financial Stability Review, March 2006. 25 ex-ante borrowing regulations frequently include: (a) rules that restrict borrowing only to long-term capital investments (Brazil, Colombia, India, Peru, Russia, South Africa); (b) limits on key fiscal variables, such as the overall or primary deficit, debt-service ratios, and/or ceilings on guarantees (Brazil, Colombia, India); and (c) procedural requirements that subnational governments establish a medium-term fiscal framework and a transparent budgetary process (Brazil, Colombia, Peru). Insolvency mechanisms, on the other hand, include clear insolvency triggers, fiscal adjustment by the debtor, and debtor-creditor negotiations to restructure the debt obligation. The effectiveness of the regulatory framework would depend, otherwise, on the overall structure of the intergovernmental relations and on ability to maintain macroeconomic stability. Download 1.26 Mb. Do'stlaringiz bilan baham: |
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