Cost Benefit Analysis – Hybrid Cars


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Cost Benefit Analysis – Hybrid Cars

    • Presented by
    • Mukesh Kakkar
    • Jeff Graebner
    • James Lepp

Agenda

  • What is Cost Benefit Analysis (CBA)

  • Costs and Benefits

  • Applications of CBA

  • Steps involved

  • Process Flow

  • Hybrids

  • Functioning

  • Consumer opinion



Cost & Benefits

  • Benefits are primary positive outcomes or consequences



Application of CBA

  • Whether or not project should be undertaken

  • Could the project be viable in future

  • Which among many competing alternatives and projects should be funded given a limited budget.



CBA Drill-down tree



CBA Process Flowchart



Hybrid Vehicles



Functioning



Opinions- facts or fiction





Gas Prices



Regressions

  • Moving Average

  • Simple Regression

  • Holt-Winters

  • Multiple Regression (3)

  • Time Series Decomposition

  • ARIMA



Multiple Regression

  • Dependent Variable

    • Gas Price
  • Independent Variables

    • Significant
      • Consumer Price Index (CPI)
      • Average number of miles traveled per vehicle
      • 9/11 – dummy variable
      • Hurricane Katrina – dummy variable
      • War in Iraq – dummy variable
      • Quarters – dummy variables
    • Insignificant


Statistics



Forecast



Vehicles Used in Study



Benefits of a Hybrid

  • Savings at the Pump

  • Lower Insurance Rates

    • Drop of 5 to 10%
  • Government Assistance

    • Federal Tax credit
    • Coase Theorem
      • Take a decentralized approach to environmental pollution
  • Lower Emissions

    • Less Carbon Monoxide adding to Global Warming
  • Self-Powering Engines

    • No hassle in finding a plug
  • Special Car-Pool Lanes

    • No matter how many people are in the car


Costs of a Hybrid

  • General Maintenance and Repair

    • Even though it does have an electric engine it is still needed
  • New Batteries

    • Need to be changed out every 8 to 10 years
  • Higher Depreciation Rate

    • Expected as 1 to 4% higher
  • Higher Initial Cost

    • Between $4,000 and $9,000


Inside the Numbers



Inside the Numbers (Continued)



The Results



The Results (Continued)



The Results (Continued)



Questions



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