Effect of interest rate risk on financial performance the mediating role of banking security degree: evidence from the financial sector in jordan


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Baron and Kenny Test


The test (Baron & Kenny, 1986) includes three conditions or three regression equations. If we fulfill these conditions, then we can conclude that the banking security degree mediates the relationship between the interest rate risk and financial performance, and this mediation may have a total or partial effect.
Condition 1: The independent variable affects the me- diating variable (Equation 1).
Table 6 shows the regression analysis results of interest rate risk on the banking security degree, where the value of the regression equation is 0.641, which is statistically significant at 0.000. This result fulfills the first condition in the model (Baron & Kenny, 1986).

Table 6. Result of the coefficients




Model


Unstandardized Coefficients

Standardized Coefficients

t


Sig.


B

Std. Error

Beta

1


(Constant)

6.260

1.196




5.233

.000

Interest Rate Risk (IRR)

.641

.122

.462

5.255

.000

Note: Dependent Variable is the Banking Security Degree (BSD).
Condition 2: The interest rate risk affects the financial performance (Equation 2): (the total effect path).
To verify the second condition, we conduct a regres- sion analysis. The result in Table 7 shows that interest rate risk affects financial performance, where the value of the regression equation is 0.632, with a statistical significance of 0.000. This result fulfills the second condition in the model (Baron & Kenny, 1986).

Table 7. Result of the coefficients





Model

Unstan- dardized Coefficients

Standardized Coefficients

t

Sig.

B

Std. Error

Beta

1


(Constant)

6.194

.996




6.218

.000

Interest Rate Risk (IRR)

.632

.102

.525

6.224

.000

Note: Dependent Variable is the Return on Equity (ROE).

Condition 3: The banking security degree affects the financial performance in the presence of the interest rate risk (Equation 3).


Table 8 shows the following multiple regression results of the effect of interest rate risk and banking security de- gree on financial performance:
The regression coefficient of the banking security de- gree on the financial performance is approximately 0.469, which is statistically significant at 0.000.
The regression coefficient of the interest rate risk on the financial performance in the presence of the mediat- ing variable (the direct effect of the independent variable on the dependent variable in the presence of the mediat- ing variable) is approximately 0.332, which is statistically significant at 0.001.

Table 8. Results of the coefficients





Model


Unstandardized Coefficients

Standardized Coefficients

t


Sig.


B

Std. Error

Beta

1


(Constant)

3.261

.932




3.499

.001

Banking Security Degree (BSD)

.469


.068


.540


6.841


.000


Interest Rate Risk (IRR)

.332

.095

.275

3.488

.001

Note: Dependent Variable is the Return on Equity (ROE).

Figure 2 shows the test analysis results (Baron & Kenny, 1986). The intermediate variable (banking security degree) has a mediation effect on the relationship between interest rate risk and financial performance. This mediation has a








Figure 2. Sample study in accordance with the test (Baron & Kenny, 1986)
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