III.
Promising Future
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High level
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Negligible changes
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Consulting interests: elaboration of the coordinated policy between republics based on regulated water discharges to the AALS;
Implementation of the joint projects aimed to conserve wildlife nature of the Aydar-Arnasay lakes; maintain fisheries, enhance tourism development, including construction of transport and resort infrastructure;
Upsides of minor climatic changes in future:
minimal fluctuations of the AALS water-surface area and volume;
probable increase of the lakes’ size;
The AALS fate: prosperous future and sustainable development;
General trends: active development of the AALS fisheries,
i.e. sustainable fish reproduction, fish production growth and modification of fish facilities;
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IV.
Business as
Usual
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Low Level
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Negligible Changes
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Main assumption: continuing current trends in the AALS development;
Self-interests: no coordinated policy in terms of water discharges to the AALS; irregular water releases;
Climate change influence: minor climatic changes have no impact on the AALS development;
The AALS fate: despite absence of climate change, there is a probability of slow decrease of the AALS water-level and volume mainly due to low level of regional cooperation;
General trends: indeterminate state of the AALS, including fluctuations of the hydrological lakes’ conditions, lack of
coordinated measures aimed to maintain biodiversity, fisheries development and recreational activity;
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CEU eTD Collection
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