Fundamentals of Risk Management
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Fundamentals of Risk Management
Risk response
178 TAbLE 15.2 Key dependencies and significant risks FirM risk scorecard example dependencies example of a significant risk Financial Availability of funds Insufficient funds available from parent company Correct allocation of funds Inadequate profit because of incorrect capital expenditure decisions Internal control Fraud occurs because of inadequate internal controls Liabilities under control Higher than expected liabilities arise in the pension fund Infrastructure People Failure to achieve/maintain health and safety standards Premises Damage to key location caused by insured peril Processes IT control systems not available because of virus or hacker activity Products Disruption because of failure of supplier Reputational Brand Product recall causes damage to product image and brand Public opinion Lost sales or revenue because of change in public tastes Regulators Regulator enforcement action causes loss of public confidence CSR Allegations of unethical product- sourcing causes loss of sales Marketplace Regulatory environment Change in tax regime results in unbudgeted tax demands Economic health Decline in world or national economy reduces consumer spending Product development Changes in technology reduce product appeal and sales Competitor behaviour Competitor substantially reduces prices to win market share tolerate, treat, transfer and terminate 179 adds that risk tolerance can be influenced by legal or regulatory (compliance) re- quirements. The comment about legal or regulatory requirements is very relevant, in that organizations will often have to tolerate a risk because of legal or regulatory requirements, even in circumstances where the organization would otherwise not wish to tolerate that risk. It should be noted that tolerance relates to a specific or individual risk, rather than the more general approach represented by risk appetite. Risk appetite refers to the amount and type of risk that an organization is willing to pursue or retain. There is a confusion of terminology between when an organization is willing to tolerate a risk and the concept of risk tolerance. The concept of tolerate is normally concerned with the organization being willing to retain or tolerate a risk, even if it is higher than the organization would choose to accept. The other concept is that of risk tolerance. Many organizations use risk tolerance in the engineering sense to represent the range of risk that is broadly acceptable. In Figure 25.1, the central sections of concerned zone and cautious zone draw the boundary around the risk tolerance. As with the engineering use of the word tolerance, these zones define the boundaries within which the organization desires the level of risk to be confined. An organization may have to tolerate risks that have a current level beyond its comfort zone and its risk appetite. On occasions, an organization may even have to tolerate risks that are beyond its actual risk capacity. However, this situation would not be sustainable and the organization would be vulnerable during this period. When the hazard risk is considered to be within the risk appetite of the organiza- tion, the organization will tolerate that risk. Risk tolerance is shown as the approach that will be adopted in relation to low-likelihood risks with low impact. However, an organization may decide to tolerate risk levels that are high because they are associated with a potentially profitable activity or relate to a core process that is fundamental to the nature of the organization. It is unusual for a hazard risk to be accepted or tolerated before any risk control measures have been applied. Generally speaking, a risk only becomes tolerable when all cost-effective control measures have been put in place, so that the organization is accepting or tolerating the risk at its current level. Certain control measures may have been applied because the inherent level of the risk may have been unacceptable. Control effort seeks to move the risk to the low-likelihood /low-impact quadrant of the risk matrix, as illustrated in Figure 16.1. Sometimes risks are only accepted as part of an arrangement whereby one risk is balanced against another. This is a simple description of neutralizing or hedging risks, but on a business level this may represent a fundamentally important strategic decision. For example, an electricity company operating independently in the northern states of the United States may have to accept the impact of variation in temperature on electricity sales. By merging (or setting up a joint venture) with an electricity company in the southern states, the north/south combined operation will be able to smooth the temperature-related variation in electricity sales. The combined operation will then sell more electricity in the northern states during cold weather, when demand in the southern states is low. Conversely, the combined operation will sell more electricity for air-conditioning units in the southern states in the summer, when demand for electricity in the northern states may be lower. |
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