I welcoming remarks
II. REGIONAL COOPERATION IN CENTRAL ASIA
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Central asia
II. REGIONAL COOPERATION IN CENTRAL ASIA:
NEW OPPORTUNITIES AND PROSPECTS Basic Principles and Priorities for Regional Cooperation in Central Asia Eldor Aripov, Director of the Information and Analytical Center for International Relations Our panel is intended for the discussion of issues of regional cooperation, new opportunities and prospects. I am convinced that within its framework, all of us, the expert community of the states of the region, will come closer to addressing the most critical challenge facing us, namely, the elaboration of a common vision for the enhancement of regional cooperation. The speech by the Minister of Foreign Affairs of the Republic of Uzbekistan and the video shown at the opening ceremony of the conference contained, to my mind, the principal idea that Uzbekistan’s regional policy has delivered an essentially new situation in Central Asia. What is it manifest in? In addition to absolutely important quantitative indicators like increase in the number of contacts among the heads of state, the growth of trade, and the implementation of major joint projects in the field of transport and industry, the level of political confidence between and among the countries in the region is gradually on the rise. We have begun to talk more about what unites us - and not only in terms of a common historical and civilizational heritage, but also the availability of shared interests. 22 We have started talking more about the need to find healthy compromises on the most critical regional problems. We have begun to less noticeably separate our common history, to focus less on disagreements. As a result, the boldest prospects for effective and mutually advantageous regional cooperation no longer seem unrealizable to us. It is clear that we are only at the beginning of the road. Our interaction so far is hampered by a whole complex of unresolved issues from delimitation and delineation of borders to fair and rational distribution of water resources. Even the emerging trend of intensifying intraregional trade is still extremely uncertain and fragile. Mutual trade between Central Asian countries is less than 10% of the total trade turnover of five countries. In the meantime, this figure in the EU exceeds 60%. All this clearly points to the urgent need for the enhancement of our interaction. According to the calculations of UN experts, effective cooperation of the Central Asian countries could at least double the regional GDP within 10 years. In the meanwhile, it is essential to depart from the conventional practice of passive inertial approach to the development of regional cooperation. It is time for us all to take a proactive position, take control of the process of coordination and harmonization of interaction, and determine the basic principles of regional cooperation. What I mean is: First, the solution of regional problems is possible only on the basis of coordinated approaches, reasonable compromises and taking into account each other’s interests. The logic ‘winner takes all’ is deadlocked and counterproductive. It is important to forsake all unhealthy ambitions and groundless claims. 23 In this regard, the approach of mutual benefit, the win-win strategy, should become a key element in building relations between and among the countries of Central Asia. By the way, an example of such constructive interaction may be the signing of conventions on the use of water resources of the Amudarya and Syrdarya rivers. That will be a real step toward solving the water and energy problems of the region on the basis of taking into account the interests of all parties. Draft conventions are developed on the basis of universal principles and norms of international law, which equally take into account the interests of the countries of the upper and lower reaches. On the one hand, they state that each country of the basin has the right within its territory to benefit from the use of the waters of this basin. On the other, it stresses the “obligation not to cause significant harm” to neighbors. According to UNDP, the damage from the lack of proper solutions to the rational distribution of water resources in the region is estimated at $ 1.7 billion per year. I am quite positive that by taking into account the mutual interests, built on reasonable compromises and correspondent exchange, it is also possible to address such a complicated issue as delimitation and demarcation of borders. Second, it is extremely important to create a favorable information background for the development of cooperation, build confidence between and among us, and also to prevent targeted attempts to foment national hostility, distrust and suspicion among the countries of Central Asia. Serious help in this will be the tools of public and parliamentary diplomacy, which Senator Kurmanov has already spoken about. Free from official formalism, direct human communication will make it possible to get to know each other better, dispel phobias and stereotypes, and will contribute to the 24 formation of harmonious relations, on the basis of which solid multifaceted ties can subsequently be built in various fields. In this regard, I would like to draw your attention to the initiative of the Honorable President of the Republic of Uzbekistan Shavkat Mironovich Mirziyoyev that he voiced at the Astana Summit of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization. At the session, Uzbekistan’s leader proposed to create so- called SCO centers designed to provide for direct contacts among ordinary people, to popularize the cultural wealth of each country. We are already doing much in this direction. I cannot fail to mention the extensive organization of Uzbekistan Culture Days in Tajikistan, the exchange of friendship delegations with Kyrgyzstan and Kazakhstan. Third, it is crucial to resolve the existing problematic issues and disagreements exclusively by the countries of the region without any interference and involvement of external forces. I am confident that we are able to agree with each other without outside assistance. We have a centuries-old history of coexistence. Nobody will understand us better than ourselves. Along with this, it is not in the interests of Central Asian states to provoke disagreements among external forces involved in the region. To befriend against someone, play on the contradictions is a counterproductive choice. It is of fundamental importance to promote pragmatic cooperation among extra-regional actors, constructive dialogue between them. Stability in Central Asia is a factor not only of regional, but also global security. Fourth, the trade and economic sphere should become a key direction of interaction among all countries of Central Asia. This front simply must be free from political setting. For each other, we are the most convenient and promising markets. The economies of the region do not directly compete 25 with one another, and in many industries they complement each other. In this respect, it seems that the time has come to consider the formation of a Regional Economic Forum for organizing a direct dialogue between and among the business communities and substantive discussion of rock-hard cooperation projects. In our opinion, this initiative will help to raise the level of awareness among business circles of our countries about proposed initiatives and projects in the region, enhance the practical interaction of business representatives. Fifth, it is indispensable to abandon the division of regional security challenges “into one’s own and that of others”, and in practice adhere to the principle of indivisibility of security. Common to the countries of the region are threats in the face of international terrorism, religious extremism, transnational organized crime, drug trafficking, environmental problems, and so forth. In this regard, it is vital to establish and develop consultative mechanisms for cooperation at various levels on maintaining stability in Central Asia, confronting common challenges and threats. Sixth, no matter how difficult it is, it is necessary to ensure the conjugation of national development prospects of the countries of the region with region-wide priorities. Only such a responsible approach, based on a strategic, non-opportunistic understanding of their interests, will help build a truly stable and prosperous Central Asia. It is difficult to challenge the simple truth that together the states of the region will be able to more effectively defend their interests on the platforms of international organizations, attract the support of donors and external forces to implement joint regional projects, and act together on pressing regional and global issues. 26 In conclusion, I would like to emphasize that Central Asia is a region of enormous opportunities and tremendous potential that awaits realization. Ensuring sustainable development, stability and prosperity in the Central Asian region is our common and certainly achievable task. I am convinced that today’s meeting is another significant step towards that goal. |
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