Praise for Trading from Your Gut
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Curtis Faith Trading from Your G
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- Techno Trading
Master traders use technology to keep their skills
sharp and their intuition honed to a fine edge. Master traders use technology for analogous reasons. They use it to keep their skills sharp and their intuition honed to a fine edge. They use it so that they can sift through hundreds or thousands of trading opportunities during a time period when they might previ- ously have been able to sort through only tens. They use it to speed up their learning. They are ready to act on any opportunities the market brings. Techno Trading I started programming trading systems using an Apple II when I was still in high school. At the time, this was a cutting-edge use of technology. When I traded as a Turtle, our quote terminals con- tained only prices. They showed the high, low, last price, net change, and volume for each contract. That’s it. We had to draw our own graphs on paper. We didn’t have intra- day charts. We had to look at the prices and determine whether the price was significant using only memory and paper charts. Using a C HAPTER 8 • T ECHNO T RADERS 143 From the Library of Daniel Johnson ptg very simple trading method reduced the amount of information I needed to keep in my head. Fortunately, the technology available to traders has tremen- dously advanced during the last 25 years. The modern master trader’s tools are a fast computer, a fast and reliable Internet con- nection, a few large-screen monitors, and advanced trading soft- ware. Most traders have two or three computers: One they use only for trading, another they use for trading research, and sometimes another they use for e-mail and general Internet use. Traders can use this technology to promote and sustain a healthy interplay between the left and right hemispheres. For exam- ple, when your intuition comes up with an idea, it’s easy to test dif- ferent aspects of trading ideas using computer software programs. For long-term trading, it is even possible to create completely auto- mated trading systems that make money. For medium-term trading, it is a bit more difficult but still generally possible. However, even with today’s advanced technology, total automa- tion is often impractical for short-term trading such as swing trading. The biggest reason is that a completely automated swing- trading strategy is beyond the programming capabilities of the vast majority of traders using the tools that are available to the retail trader. So you need to use a balance of your whole mind to properly test a potential short-term trading idea. Consider the rebound swing method. Although it is easy to train your right brain to recognize whether a particular stock has clear support and resistance, this is a difficult concept to program into a computer. Support and resistance are concepts that are primarily based on visual perception. Does the support hold up if the price 144 T RADING FROM Y OUR G UT From the Library of Daniel Johnson ptg goes 25¢ below the previous low? How about 45¢? Does it make any difference if the previous support was only five days earlier? How about three days? How much price differential between the support and resistance is significant? These are all fuzzy concepts with fuzzy answers. Computer programs want hard answers to specific questions. They don’t like fuzzy concepts or fuzzy answers. Algorithmic com- puter programs are entirely left brain. They are annoyingly logical. They want to be told exactly what to do. They can’t see the big pic- ture. They can see the trees, but they don’t know that a forest exists. The important factor for the specific concepts of support and resistance is what other traders will perceive using their eyes. The important factor for the specific concepts of support and resistance is what other traders will perceive using their eyes. Other traders’ perceptions of support and resistance create the tendency for the price to rebound off support and resistance. If you can’t accurately program a concept that duplicates other traders’ percep- tions, you won’t be able to accurately test the method. The best retail trading computers and software programs cannot currently perform this task. This is good because it means that traders who use a proper bal- ance of intuition and intellect will be able to test and implement ideas that are profitable but that are not likely to be automated. The trading that exists just beyond the reach of technology offers better opportunity for those who have properly trained their gut intuition C HAPTER 8 • T ECHNO T RADERS 145 From the Library of Daniel Johnson ptg to excel. If it were easy to create a computer program that could duplicate your intuition, more computers would be trading and less opportunities would be available for the individual trader without the banks of hyperfast computers that Goldman Sachs might have available. This is also one of the reasons swing trading offers good poten- tial for intuitive traders. It is beyond the reach of our current left brain-oriented computer technology. Download 1.25 Mb. Do'stlaringiz bilan baham: |
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