Iste’mol narxlari indeksini «1997-yil» uchun bashorati (mavsumiy tebranishlar usulida) 5-jadval
Oylar
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Yillar
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1997-yilga bashorat
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1997-yil
haqiqatda
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|
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1994
(T-3)
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1995
(T-2)
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1996
(T-1)
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O’rtacha
|
Mavsumiylik indeksi
|
zanjirli
|
bazisli
|
zanjirli
|
bazisli
|
1
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2
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3
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4
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5
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6
|
7
|
8
|
9
|
10
|
Yanvar
|
1.243
|
1,169
|
1,053
|
1,155
|
1,032
|
1,153
|
1,153
|
1,069
|
1,069
|
Fevral
|
1.275
|
1,178
|
1,027
|
1,16
|
1.036
|
1,158
|
1,335
|
1,049
|
1,121
|
Mart
|
1,272
|
1,078
|
1,023
|
1,124
|
1,004
|
1,122
|
1,498
|
1,053
|
1,180
|
Aprel
|
1,449
|
1,167
|
1,098
|
1,238
|
1,106
|
1,236
|
1,851
|
1,045
|
1,233
|
May
|
1,289
|
1,062
|
1,026
|
1,125
|
1.005
|
1.123
|
2.079
|
1,029
|
1,268
|
Iyun
|
1.367
|
0.979
|
1.001
|
1.115
|
0,996
|
1.113
|
2.314
|
0,969
|
1,229
|
Iyul
|
1,135
|
1.001
|
0,969
|
1.035
|
0,924
|
1.033
|
2.390
|
0.997
|
1,225
|
Avgust
|
1,111
|
1,007
|
1.011
|
1,043
|
0,932
|
1,041
|
2.488
|
0.994
|
1,218
|
Sentabr
|
1,194
|
1,048
|
1,027
|
1,089
|
0,973
|
1,087
|
2.705
|
1,003
|
1,222
|
Oktabr
|
1,234
|
1,053
|
1,044
|
1,110
|
0,991
|
1,107
|
2.994
|
1,007
|
1,230
|
Noyabr
|
1,275
|
1,041
|
1,105
|
1,140
|
1,018
|
1,138
|
3.407
|
1,017
|
1,251
|
Dekabr
|
1,133
|
1,040
|
1,135
|
1,102
|
0.984
|
1,100
|
3.478
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1,018
|
1,274
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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O’rtacha
|
1,245
|
1,067
|
1,042
|
1,119
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|
1,118
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|
1,020
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|
LTR12
|
13.814
|
2.169
|
1,643
|
|
|
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|
1,275
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Ushbu garfikda 1997-yi uchun iste’mol indeksi ko’rsatkichlari bazisli usulda ko’rsatilgan. 8- ustun grafigida bashorat ko’rsatilgan 10- ustun grafigida esa haqiqqatdagi ko’rsatkichlarni ko’rishimiz mumkin. Bunda yanvar oyida (6.9) yil ohiriga ke lib (24.7) ni ko’rsatmoqda. Ya’ni bu ko’rsatkich tobora o’sib borgan.
Ushbu grafikda Iste’mol narxlari indeksini 1997-yil uchun bashoratli jadvalining 6,7,9-ustun ko’rsatkichlari joylashtirilgan. 6- ustun grafigida eng yuqori cho’qqi aprel oyida 10.6 ni ko’rsatmoqda va undan keying iyul oyigacha bo’lgan davrda mavsumiylik indeksi pasayib (-) tomonga o,zgargan, undan kngi oylarda esa asta sekinlik bilan o’sib boirayotganligini ko’rishimiz mumkin. 7-ustun grafigida esa 1997- yil uchun mavsumiylik indeksi prognozi ko’rsatilgan va grafikga qarasak ko’rsatkichlar (-)tomonga o’tmagan va ancha yuqori bo’lgan. 9-ustun grafigida esa shu yil uchun haqiqatdagi iste’mol narxlari indeksi ko’rsatkichlari berilgan. Grafiukdan ko’rinib turibtiki Yanvar oyida 6.9 bilan boshlanib dekabr oyiga kelganda 1.8 ga tushgan ya’ni pasaygan.
6 -jadval
O’zbekiston Respublikasida 2010-2020-yillar uchun Iste’mol narxlari indeksi dinamikasi
Oylar
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O’sish koeffitsienti, oldingi oyga nisbatan (STR), marta
|
2010
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2011
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2012
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2013
|
2014
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2015
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2016
|
2017
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2018
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2019
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2020
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Yanvar
|
1,011
|
1,009
|
1,009
|
1,010
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1,010
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1,008
|
1,008
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1,008
|
1,027
|
1,015
|
1,006
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|
Fevral
|
1,010
|
1,009
|
1,010
|
1,010
|
1,009
|
1,008
|
1,008
|
1,011
|
1,011
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1,016
|
1,008
|
|
Mart
|
1,008
|
1,008
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1,008
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1,007
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1,006
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1,005
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1,004
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1,009
|
1,011
|
1,012
|
1,013
|
|
Aprel
|
1,011
|
1,010
|
1,010
|
1,010
|
1,008
|
1,007
|
1,007
|
1,010
|
1,009
|
1,009
|
1,017
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|
May
|
1,004
|
1,002
|
1,003
|
1,003
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1,002
|
1,003
|
1,003
|
1,009
|
1,008
|
1,007
|
1,003
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|
Iyun
|
0,993
|
0,996
|
0,993
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0,994
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0,996
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0,995
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0,995
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1,003
|
0,996
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0,995
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0,998
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|
Iyul
|
0,992
|
1,994
|
0,994
|
0,988
|
0,989
|
0,988
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0,988
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1,004
|
0,997
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0,996
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0,997
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|
Avgust
|
1,004
|
1,006
|
0,997
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1,000
|
0,999
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0,998
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0,998
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1,006
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1,003
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1,029
|
1,005
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|
Sentabr
|
1,005
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1,008
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1,009
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1,010
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1,010
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1,010
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1,011
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1,014
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1,018
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1,013
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1,014
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|
Oktabr
|
1,010
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1,011
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1,012
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1,011
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1,010
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1,010
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1,010
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1,013
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1,013
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1,016
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1,014
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|
Noyabr
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1,008
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1,008
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1,010
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1,010
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1,009
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1,011
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1,011
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1,020
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1,023
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1,018
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1,015
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|
Dekabr
|
1,011
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1,010
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1,012
|
1,011
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1,010
|
1,011
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1,012
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1,027
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1,021
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1,015
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1,016
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
O’rtacha
|
1,006
|
1,006
|
1,006
|
1,005
|
1,005
|
1,005
|
1,005
|
1,011
|
1,011
|
1,012
|
1,009
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|
LTR112
|
1,073
|
1,076
|
1,070
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1,068
|
1,061
|
1,056
|
1,057
|
1,144
|
1,143
|
1,152
|
1,111
|
|
6 -jadval
|
|
|
LTR1(dek.t-2y=100)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Oylar
|
1994- yil
|
1995- yil
|
1994- yil
|
1995- yil
|
LTR1 (dek.t-1 y=1.00)
|
LTR2
|
LTR3
|
LTR4
|
LTR5
|
Yanvar
|
1,243
|
1,169
|
1,24
|
16.15
|
1,17
|
12.99
|
|
|
12.99
|
Fevral
|
1,275
|
1,178
|
1.58
|
19.02
|
1.38
|
12.00
|
|
|
33.04
|
Mart
|
1,272
|
1,078
|
2.02
|
20.51
|
1.48
|
10.17
|
55.27
|
63.32
|
55.27
|
Aprel
|
1,449
|
1,167
|
2.92
|
23.93
|
1.73
|
8.19
|
|
|
81.45
|
May
|
1,289
|
1,062
|
3.77
|
25.42
|
1.84
|
6.75
|
|
|
110.35
|
Iyun
|
1,367
|
0,979
|
5.15
|
24.88
|
1.80
|
4.83
|
66.78
|
90.42
|
140.48
|
Iyul
|
1,135
|
1,001
|
5.84
|
24.91
|
1.80
|
4.26
|
|
|
177.33
|
Avgust
|
1,111
|
1,007
|
6.49
|
25.08
|
1.82
|
3.86
|
|
|
202.76
|
Sentyabr
|
1,194
|
1,048
|
7.75
|
26.29
|
1.90
|
3.39
|
68.73
|
101.38
|
236.56
|
Oktyabr
|
1,234
|
1,053
|
9.56
|
27.68
|
2.00
|
2.89
|
|
|
273.53
|
Noyabr
|
1,275
|
1,041
|
12.19
|
28.81
|
2.09
|
2.36
|
|
|
314.31
|
Dekabr
|
1,133
|
1,04
|
13.81
|
29.97
|
2.17
|
2.17
|
85.63
|
109.06
|
357.87
|
|
|
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