Economic Development of Korea


Korea’s FTA Source: Customs, Korea Korea’s Trade with FTA Partners (2013)


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Korea

Korea’s FTA


Source: Customs, Korea

Korea’s Trade with FTA Partners (2013)

In the post Crisis Period: Globalization & Challenges

  • Korea actively participated bilateral free trade agreement as well as mega-regional trade agreement such as RCEP or TPP
    • Shifting Korea’s Trade Policy paradigm
  • Why?
    • To reduce costs associated with the Spaghetti Bowl Effect
    • Asia is the most active in Global Supply Chain Management
      • Need to help firms to improve efficiency in production
    • To counteract the possible trade diversion effect of mega-trading blocs such as EU,NAFTA, MERCOSUR etc.
    • To Tone down regional security threats
  • Can Korea-Kazakhstan be Partners in the era of FTAs and Mega FTAs?

Changes in Korea’s Trade Paradigm and Strategies

Korea’s Economic Development

  • How Did Korea Achieve it?
    • 7.5% p.a. Economic Growth Rate (1953-2014)
    • With a fairer income distribution
      • Gini Coefficient: 0.344 (1965) => 0.307 (2012)
    • Significant Structural Changes
      • From Primary to Industry
      • From Light Manufacturing to Capital Intensive and Technology Intensive
  • Why?
    • Leaders Committed to Economic Growth and Development
    • Accountability and transparency in International Economic and Trade Policy
    • Competitive Macroeconomic Policy
    • Promoting Competition

Economic Development of Korea: Growth Path and Challenges

  • Rapid economic growth
    • Accompanied a Fair Income Distribution: Gini Coefficient
  • Significant structural changes
    • In Outputs
      • Agriculture-Industry-Service
    • In exports
      • Primary – Manufacturing
      • L-intensive-K-intensive-Knowledge-intensive

1965

1970

1976

1982

1990~1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2006

2012

0.344

0.332

0.391

0.357

0.281~0.295

0.316

0.32

0.317

0.319

0.306

0.307

Export Share (%)

1962

1972

1977

1982

1987

1991

2001

2011

2014

Primary

27.5

10.3

13.8

7.9

6.0

3.5

2.7

2.8

2.2

Light Manufacturing

63.4

56.3

52.2

43.5

42.3

36.5

16.4

6.2

6.4

Heavy and Chemical Manufacturing

9.1

33.4

34.0

48.6

51.7

60

80.9

91

91.4

IT






15.4

27

22.4

23.9

Others






44.6

53.9

68.6

67.5

GDP by Economic Activities(%)


1953

1962

1971

1981

1991

2001

2011

2014

Primary(Agriculture, Forestry & Fishery)

30.1%

25.9%

16.6%

9.8%

4.9%

3.3%

2.3%

2.3%

Mining

2.0%

3.5%

2.7%

1.8%

0.7%

0.3%

0.2%

0.2%

Manufacturing

2.8%

4.9%

9.3%

16.9%

20.9%

25.1%

31.6%

32.0%

Electricy, Gas and Water

0.1%

0.2%

0.5%

0.9%

1.6%

2.1%

2.2%

2.1%

Construction

3.9%

5.5%

10.0%

10.6%

12.1%

6.8%

4.7%

4.4%

Services

61.1%

60.0%

60.9%

59.9%

59.8%

62.4%

59.0%

59.1%

Source: nso.kr
Gov’t
Business
People
Gov’t
Business
People
Gov’t
Business
People
<1960s-Mid1980s>



Gov’t Entrepreneurial Leadership
Gov’t Leadership
& Business Power
Gov’t Leadership
& Business Power & People Power

Korea-kazakhstan: a quick review


Kazakhstan and Korea: Now


Kazakhstan

Korea

Area (km2) (ranking)

2,724,900 (9th)

99720 (109th)

Agricultural Land (%)

77.4

18.1

Population (million; 2015) (ranking)

18.2(61th)

49.1 (28th)

65 and overs (%)

7.17

13.00

Life Expectancy (years)

70.6

80

Population Growth Rate (%; 2014)

1.14

0.14

Birth Rate (per 1000 popltn) (ranking)

19.15 (19th)

8.19 (220th)

Fertility Rate(child born per woman) (ranking)

2.31 (92th)

1.25 (220th)

GDP (US$)

212.3 billion

1.41 trillion

Exports (US$)

87.3 billion

572.7 billion

Major Export Products

oil and oil products, natural gas, ferrous metals, chemicals, machinery

semiconductors, petrochemicals, automobile/parts, ships, wireless communication equipment, flat display, steels,

Imports (US$ Billion)

46.7 billion

525.5 billion

Major Import Products

machinery and equipment, metal products, foodstuff

crude oil, petroleum products, semiconductors, coal, steel

Major Natural Resources Reserves
(ranking)

Crude Oil: 30 billion barrel (12th)

Crude oil: 0 barrel


Natural Gas: 2.407 trillion m3 (15th)

5.748 billion m3 (89th)

Mobile Phone (2014)

28 million

57.2 million

Internet Users (2014) (ranking)

10.6 million (45th)

44.9 million (13th)

% of Population

59.3

91.5

Military Expenditure (% of GDP)
(2012)

1.21

2.8

Source: ciafactbook
(USB$)
Source: Korea Customs
Source: Korea Customs
Source: Koreaexim Bank
Source: Koreaexim Bank

Korea –Kazakhstan Trade (1992-2014)


Year

Export (USM$)

Import (USM$)

Total Trade (USM$)

1993

41

47

88

1998

104

31

135

1999

57

51

108

2000

82

49

131

2005

273

242

515

2010

604

334

938

2013

1,074

249

1,323

2014

907

561

1,468

Source: kita.net
  • Korea-Kazakhstan Diplomatic Relationship
    • January 28, 1992
    • Korea-Kazakhstan Trade has expanded rapidly
      • US$88 million (1993) to US$1468 million(2014)
    • Exports
      • US$41million(1993) to US$907 million (2014)
    • Imports
      • US$ 47 million (1993) to US$ 561 million (2014)
    • But still remained below its potential

Korea –Kazakhstan Trade (1992-2014)


Source: kita.net

Korea’s Top 10 Imports from Kazakhstan (2014)


Source: kita.net


Products (SITC 2 digit)

Imports

Growth Rate (%)



Total

560,771

209.9

1

33

Petroleum and Petroleum Products

372,193

-

2

67

Steel and Iron

95,808

0.1

3

52

Inorganic Chemicals

72,228

2.9

4

68

Non-ferrous Metal

13,022

5.0

5

29

Non specified Unprocessed meat and vegetables

6,948

-0.1

6

89

Miscellaneous n.e.s

155

75.2

7

59

Chemical Products, n.e.s.

137

-54.7

8

77

Electrical Apparatus and Machinery

80

-30.2

9

26

Textile and Textile Waste

49

-

10

74

Industrial Machinery and Equipment

46

-

Source: kita.net

Korea’s Top 10 exports to Kazakhstan (2014)



Products(SITC2 digit)

Exports (US’000)

Growth Rate (%)



Total

906,958

268.6

1

78

Automobile

388,723

267.4

2

57

Plastics(Materials)

62,270

34.1

3

76

Communication and Recording Equipment

61,692

52.3

4

77

Electrical Machinery and Equipment

53,077

131.2

5

87

Other Scientific and Control Apparatus and Equipment

46,981

32.6

6

72

Special Industrial Machinery

46,832

28.3

7

67

Steel and Iron

36,308

108.7

8

74

Industrial Machinery and Equipment

35,129

68.8

9

82

Furniture, Bedding, Mattress etc.

18,418

-4.2

10

09

Other Food and Food stuffs

16,906

6.2

Source: kita.net

Korea’s FDI in Kazakhstan (1990-2014)


Source: kita.net
  • In total , US$ 2.45 billion
  • Finance & Insurance (29.1%)
  • Construction (17.1%)
  • Manufacturing (15.6%)
  • Realty and Lease (11.0%)

Korea-Kazakhstan Relationship

  • Economic partnership between Korea and Kazakhstan
    • In trade and FDI: getting stronger but remained less than its potential
  • Why?
    • Lack of mutual understanding
    • Other reasons?
  • How?

Thank you very much


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