Fundamentals of Risk Management


Risk analysis and evaluation


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Fundamentals of Risk Management

Risk analysis and evaluation
149
it is usual for enhanced monitoring of the risks to be put in place. This will enable 
the organization to ensure that it takes the earliest opportunity of introducing any 
enhanced controls as soon as they become available.
Risk significance
When undertaking a risk assessment, it is quite common to identify a hundred or more 
risks that could impact the objective, core process or key dependency that is being 
considered. This is an unmanageable number of risks and so a method is required to 
reduce the number that will be considered to be priority issues for management.
In order for an organization to concentrate on significant risks, a test for risk 
significance is required. Table 12.1 provides suggestions on the nature of the bench-
mark tests that could be used to decide whether a risk is significant. For risks that 
will have a financial or commercial impact, the benchmark test is likely to be based on 
monetary value. For risks that could disrupt the infrastructure or routine operations 
of the organization, a benchmark test based on the impact, cost and duration of 
disruption is appropriate. For reputational risks, the most likely benchmark will be 
based on the adverse publicity that would result if the risk materializes.
This may vary according to the nature of the risk and whether it is a financial or 
non-financial one. For large organizations, identifying a financial test for significance 
can be undertaken in a number of ways. Many organizations will have authorization 
procedures for spending money, and so the test for risk significance should be com-
patible with the authorization levels, which are often set out in a formal document 
referred to as a ‘delegation of authority’.
For a large organization, it may be the case that full board approval is required 
for expenditure in excess of a particular financial threshold. This is an indication of 
the sum of money that is considered significant by the organization. Other tests
include a percentage of the budgeted profit for the year or a percentage of the value 
of the balance sheet (or reserves) of the organization. Typically, 5 per cent of the
annual profit or 0.25 per cent of balance sheet or 0.5 per cent of annual turnover
are appropriate tests for significance. For an organization with a £2 billion balance 
sheet, £1 billion annual turnover and £100 million planned annual profit, the signi-
ficant financial threshold would be £5 million.
Financial limits can be used to test whether a risk is significant in relation to financial 
and marketplace risk segments of the FIRM risk scorecard. For infrastructure and 
reputational segments, identifying a benchmark test for significance may be more 
difficult. One test of significance for infrastructure risks is to ask whether the risk 
would disrupt normal operations for more than (say) half a day. For reputational 
risks, the test for significance may be to determine how the event would be reported. 
A report on the front page of the local newspaper or in the national press may be an 
indication that a risk should be considered to be significant.
For an organization, it is possible that the external auditors might indicate that
a sum of £1 million would be considered to be a material sum when compiling
the accounts of the organization. This would offer guidance to the management of
the company to use that amount as the benchmark test of significance, although it 



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