The Digital Transformation Playbook: Rethink Your Business for the Digital Age
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roll-out Cannot limit roll-out Polished launch MVP launch Figure 5.4 Four Paths for Scaling Up. 156 I N N O V A T E B Y R A P I D E X P E R I M E N T A T I O N MVP Rollout This is the easiest path for introducing an innovation because you can start your rollout with a limited test market and then iterate rapidly as you gain additional feedback from customers. In these cases, you may bleed right from your minimum viable prototype into actual product development. That is, your first public release will be a minimum viable product offered to a limited set of customers. The relative ease of this path is one upside to being a little-known start-up: you can iterate and learn with real customers without much public scrutiny. This was what Rent The Runway did after receiving its first round of capital from Bain. The first website launched with only 5,000 members, by invitation only. This allowed the company to start with a relatively inexpensive inventory of 8,000 dresses from thirty designers. Once they saw the business model was succeeding and press coverage led to a surge in requests to join, the founders secured a second round of financing so they could scale up quickly to meet demand. An example of a locally lim- ited MVP rollout is the launch of Zipcar. This was one of the first services to allow members to rent a car by the hour, picking the cars up at street locations identified online rather than having to visit a car rental office. Founder Robin Chase launched Zipcar as an MVP only six months after beginning work on the business and having raised just $75,000. She was able to do this partly because she began only in Boston, waiting more than a year to extend to a second location. This allowed her to test out the business model and iterate her service with feedback from paying customers. MVP Launch The second path for scaling up is harder. In this quadrant, your business is forced to iterate very quickly after launching your innovation because you are not able to able to effectively limit the scope of the launch. (As a result, your first release could make a lasting impression on a larger audience.) One reason this path may be necessary, even for a digital service, is that the business has to rely on network effects. For example, eBay was predicated on a platform business model that required both buyers and I N N O V A T E B Y R A P I D E X P E R I M E N T A T I O N 157 sellers. Growing each side of that equation as quickly as possible was essential (no one wants to sell on an auction site with few customers or to browse on an auction site with few products). Omidyar could not afford to restrict the website to a small pool of customers while he iter- ated and perfected it. A business also may not be able to limit the release of an innovation due to the high visibility of its brand or the expectation that the initiative may draw wide attention. American Express launched Small Business Sat- urday with the idea of putting a spotlight on America’s small, local busi- nesses for one day. The campaign launched in just six weeks with its scope still undetermined. An outpouring of energy and involvement came in from social media, consumers, business owners, and even an act of Con- gress. The company had to move quickly, but it was able to rapidly evolve the program and its goals as Small Business Saturday quickly became an annual phenomenon during the holiday shopping season. Polished Rollout The third path for scaling up is also harder than the first—but for different reasons. In this quadrant, you are able to launch your innovation in limited locations or for limited customers, but you cannot quickly iterate it once it is public. It therefore needs to be much more polished at the point of release. Still, you are able to take advantage of rolling your innovation out in stages by validating your initial findings and testing how it is received by different customers or in different markets. Retail design typically follows this path. Starbucks has tested diverse ideas, such as offering local wines and craft beers, in a set of store locations in Seattle. The company first tested wireless charging mats for phones at stores in Boston before rolling them out nationwide. It even tested a coffee delivery service (via mobile app) by making it available exclusively to customers working in New York’s Empire State Building. When Settlement Music School, an education nonprofit in Philadel- phia, developed an innovative plan for a new music program aimed at adults, it chose to roll it out in one location at a time. After the first two locations succeeded but the third foundered, the school realized the pro- gram would need to be adapted based on the musical interests and cultural networks of each surrounding neighborhood. 36 158 I N N O V A T E B Y R A P I D E X P E R I M E N T A T I O N Polished Launch The fourth path for scaling up a new innovation is the hardest of all. In this quadrant, you must offer your new innovation to all customers at once, and you are unable to iterate it quickly. This creates maximum pressure for your company to polish and carefully test an innovation before its public release. This is the path for innovations like new automobiles, pharmaceuticals, and hardware products. In cases where a physical product can be updated in a year or less (e.g., some consumer electronics), you may want to aim for a streamlined first product, withholding some of your eventual fea- tures until the first edition is on the market. This is the pattern of Apple’s most successful products, which typically have made large leaps in features between their first and second years (in that sense, some would say the first-generation iPads and iPhones were both “MVPs”). By contrast, we can look at Google Glass. The wearable eye-frame com- puting device was released publicly while it was still buggy and before Google was even clear on the value proposition for the user. The company failed to iterate Glass meaningfully within a year because it was still just trying to get the device to work consistently. It was probably used to operating in the MVP rollout quadrant (where it had launched Gmail and countless other software products), and it underestimated the discipline necessary when releasing a hardware product, especially one that would be attracting massive media attention. Although Google released Glass to only a few thousand custom- ers, the prominence of its brand and the controversial nature of the product (with its ability to record video incognito) ensured that the release was sub- ject to prolonged and intense scrutiny. A national conversation ensued about what Glass meant for the future of computing and privacy, and the company, which grew up with the most casual of beta-style launches, learned that not every new innovation can be released the same way. Knowing which of these four quadrants your innovation fits in— polished or MVP, rollout or launch—will clarify your path to bringing it forth and scaling it up successfully. Any new innovation should continue to iterate and improve after launch. Knowing how to best do so is essential. Organizational Challenges of Innovation Putting rapid experimentation at the heart of the innovation process is not easy for many large or traditional organizations. As they have grown, most businesses have relied on decision making by committee or by seniority I N N O V A T E B Y R A P I D E X P E R I M E N T A T I O N 159 and chain of command. In Silicon Valley, it is commonly said that HiPPOs make the decisions at more-traditional firms. (No, not the river-dwelling mammal you see in the zoo. This is decision based on the Highest Paid Per- son’s Opinion.) Rethinking innovation requires significant organizational changes, beginning with how decisions get made. Building a Test-and-Learn Culture Historian Yuval Noah Harari describes the birth of the Scientific Revo- lution as “the discovery of ignorance.” In his view, the birth of modern human societies began with this credo: “We don’t know everything … the things that we think we know could be proven wrong … no concept, idea or theory is sacred and beyond challenge.” 37 For a business to embrace experimentation requires a similar rec- ognition: we do not know what we think we do. 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