In other words, successful trading is a matter of trying to avoid losses, but not being afraid of
them.
That is a good way to put it. I'm not afraid to lose. When you start being afraid to lose, you're finished.
Is the ability to accept losses a characteristic of a winning trader?
Yes. Tom Baldwin is a good example. He only trades the market; he doesn't trade size or equity. By that I
mean, he doesn't say to himself, "I am long 2,000 contracts. Oh my God, that is too many, I have to sell some." He
never looks at it that way. He will sell either when he thinks the market has gone up too far, or when he thinks that
his position is wrong.
In your trading experience, is there one particular trade that stands out as the most dramatic?
In 1986, when the long bond was being cornered by the Japanese, there was a big, emotional rally on a
Monday morning. I had thought the market was too high at 90.00, and here it was trading over 91.00. So I sold
1,100 contracts scale-up above that level. The market backed down and was offered 1,000 lots at 91.00. Just as I
was thinking that I had this trade nailed, in less than five minutes the market reversed and soared to 92.00.
I was down $1 million, and the market was only a few ticks away from limit bid. I had never lost so much
money, so fast, and it was because I did things differently than I normally do.
What specifically?
I usually don't trade that big early in the year. I like to make money gradually at first and then play with the
money I have made.
It sounds like part of your money-management philosophy is based on treating each year
independently.
Right. Anyway, I sold a little bit more up at the highs, and from that point on, I was only concerned with
covering. I waited patiently, and the market started coming back down. I ended up losing only $400,000 for the day,
not all that bad considering where I was earlier. But that trade had a big emotional impact on me. I was
flabbergasted by the market action. I had forgotten that markets could run away like that. I couldn't believe how
wrong I had been.
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