Earlier, you talked about using volume as a clue that the market averages were topping. Do you
also use volume as an indicator in trading individual stocks?
The volume in a stock is a measure of supply and demand. When a stock is beginning to move into new high
ground, volume should increase by at least 50 percent over the average daily volume in recent months. High volume
at a key point is an extraordinarily valuable tip-off that a stock is ready to move.
Volume can also be used in a reverse manner. When prices enter a consolidation after an advance, volume
should dry up very substantially. In other words, there should be very little selling coming into the market. During a
consolidation, declining volume is generally constructive.
How do you handle a losing streak?
If you hit a losing streak, and it is not because what you are doing is wrong, that tells you the whole market
may be going bad. If you have five or six straight losses, you want to pull back to see if it is time to start moving into
cash.
The "M" in your CANSLIM formula emphasizes the importance of being out of the market—at least
on the long side—during major bear phases. Since most mutual funds, by their very structure, remain
heavily invested in stocks throughout both bull and bear markets, does this imply that you believe mutual
funds are a poor investment?
This is going to surprise you. I think mutual funds are an absolutely outstanding way to invest. I believe that
every person should own their own home, own real estate, and have an individual stock account or own mutual funds.
Those are the only ways you can make any substantial income above your salary. Although I think mutual funds are
an excellent investment, the problem is that most people don't know how to handle them. The key to success in
mutual funds is to sit and not to think. When you buy a fund, you want to be in it for 15 years or more. That is how
you will make the really big money. But in order to do that, you need the courage to sit through three, four, or five
bear markets. The typical diversified growth stock fund will go up 75 to 100 percent in a bull market, but it will
decline by only 20 to 30 percent in a bear market.
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