B. B. Berkinov, Ye. A. Yarmolik, Q. Q. Quvnoqov
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O’zbekiston respublikasi oliy va o’rta
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a l g ro w th ra te 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 0 25 50 75 100 125 150 175 200 D4NDG_UZ_Q D4NDG_UZ_QF Years No m i n a l g r o w t h r a t e 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 -50 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 D4PS_UZ_Q D4PS_UZ_QF Years No m i n a l g r o w t h r a t e 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 D4OT HER_CON_Q D4OT HER_CON_QF Years N o m in a l g ro w th r a te 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 Investistiyalar dinamikasi va prognozi YoY-Change of Total Investment D4FC_Q BASE_INV(5) 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Jami iste’mol prognoz Uzoq muddat foydalaniladigan tovarlar prognoz prognoz Kundalik foydalaniladigan tovarlar prognoz Xizmatlar prognoz Boshqa Jami investitsiyalar prognoz 222 D4FCP_Q D4FCP_QF 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 D4FCG_Q D4FCG_QF 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 Davlat xarajatlari dinamikasi va prognozi GOVEXP GOVEXPF 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 Lin. Trend 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 0 20 40 60 80 100 Quad. Trend 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 Eksport dinamikasi va prognozi D4E_T OT AL D4E_T OT ALF 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 -25 0 25 50 75 100 125 150 prognoz prognoz Xususiy investitsiyalar Davlat investitsiyalari progn oz prognoz Davlat xarajatlari Trend Trend 2 prognoz prognoz 223 Index of foreign income growth Computed on Basis of the Supplied Weights IFMR 2010 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 -7.5 -5.0 -2.5 0.0 2.5 5.0 7.5 10.0 Export (YoY) growth and export prices CIPX_UZ_Q 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 -1.00 -0.75 -0.50 -0.25 0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 Export (YoY) growth and real exchange rate growth D4LNREER_UZ_Q 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 -0.6 -0.5 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 -0.0 0.1 0.2 -1.00 -0.75 -0.50 -0.25 0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 Import dinamikasi va prognozi D4 L NM _ T OT AL 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 -0.4 -0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 D4CIPM D4CIPMF 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 Export (YoY) growth and real exchange rate growth D4LNREER_UZ_Q 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 -0.6 -0.5 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 -0.0 0.1 0.2 -1.00 -0.75 -0.50 -0.25 0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 prognoz prognoz prognoz Savdo sheriklari daromadlari Eksport narxlar Real samarali ayirboshlash kursi prognoz prognoz prognoz Import narxlar Real samarali ayirboshlash курси 224 Iste’mol bo’yicha qisqa muddatli va uzoq muddatli multiplikativ samaralar Uy xo’jaliklarining xizmatlarini iste’mol qilishga nisbatan uy xo’jaliklari daromadlarining 1 f.b.ga o’zgarishi Periods S h o r t a n d L o n g R u n E f f e c t 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 -0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 Short-run Long-run Cumulative Kundalik foyd.tovarlarni iste’mol qilishga nisbatan uy xo’jaliklari daromadlarining 1 f.b.ga o’zgarishi Periods S h o r t a n d L o n g R u n E f f e c t 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 -0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 Short-run Long-run Cumulative Uzoq mud.foyd.tovarlarni iste’mol qilishga nisbatan yosh aholi ulushining 1 f.b.ga o’zgarishi Periods S h o r t a n d L o n g R u n E f f e c t 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 -1.0 -0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 Short-run Long-run Cumulative Oziq-ovqat tovarlarini iste’mol qilishga nisbatan uy xo’jaliklari daromadlarining 1 f.b.ga o’zgarishi Periods S h o r t a n d L o n g R u n E f f e c t 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 -0.75 -0.50 -0.25 0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 1.25 1.50 Short-run Long-run Cumulative 225 Investistiyalar bo’yicha qisqa muddatli va uzoq muddatli multiplikativ samaralar Xususiy sektorga xususiy investistiyalar o’sish sur’atlariga nisbatan kreditlar ulushining 1 f.b.ga o’zgarishi Periods S h o r t a n d L o n g R u n E f f e c t 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 -5.0 -2.5 0.0 2.5 5.0 7.5 10.0 12.5 15.0 17.5 Short-run Long-run Cumulative Xususiy investistiyalar o’sish sur’atiga nisbatan YaIM o’sish sur’atining 1 f.b.ga o’zgarishi Periods S h o r t a n d L o n g R u n E f f e c t 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 -0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 Short-run Long-run Cumulative Markazlashgan investistiyalar o’sish sur’atiga nisbatan byudjet taqchilligining 1 f.b.ga o’zgarishi Periods S h o r t a n d L o n g R u n E f f e c t 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 -35 -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 Short-run Long-run Cumulative Мarkazlashgan investistiyalar o’sish sur’atiga nisbatan O’rtacha chamalangan foiz stavkasining 1 f.b.ga o’zgarishi Periods S h o r t a n d L o n g R u n E f f e c t 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 -2.5 -2.0 -1.5 -1.0 -0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 Short-run Long-run Cumulative 226 Eksport va import bo’yicha qisqa muddatli va uzoq muddatli multiplikativ samaralar O’zbekiston eksportining o’zishiga nisbatan xorijiy daromadlar o’sishining 1 f.b.ga o’zgarishi Periods S h o r t a n d L o n g R u n E f f e c t 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 -0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 Short-run Long-run Cumulative Download 2.02 Mb. 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