(iv) Forecasting demand for new-products:- The methods of forecasting demand for new
products are in
many ways different from those for established products. Since the product is new
to the consumers, an
intensive study of the product and its likely impact upon other products of the same group provides a key to
an intelligent projection of demand.
Objectives of short-term demand forecasting
• Production policy: Short -term demand forecasting is used to evolve a suitable production policy which can
avoid the problems of over production and short supply.
• Expenditure pattern: It helps the firm in purchasing. Knowledge of near future economic conditions help
the firm in reducing costs of purchasing raw materials and controlling inventory.
•
Sales policy: Demand forecasting helps the firm in evolving a suitable sales policy.
•
Price policy: Sales forecasting is useful in determining pricing policy. When the market conditions are
expected to be weak, the firm can avoid an increase in price and vice-versa.
• Sales targets, controls and incentives: Short term demand forecasting is used to set sales targets and for
establishing controls and incentives.
•
Financial requirements: It is useful in forecasting short term financial requirements. Cash requirement
depends on production and sales levels. Hence sales forecasts help the firm to make arrangements for
necessary funds well in advance.
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